具有现实订单机制的人工股票市场的价格动态

IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Uzay Çetin , Şükrü C. Demirtaş , Senem Çakmak Şahin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们分析了日差价对人为股票市场的影响。在我们的研究中,我们有两种不同的市场情景:一种是模仿类似于 rkiye的市场,其特点是存在每日价格保证金监管,另一种反映了类似于美国的市场,其中订单不受每日价格保证金约束。随着每日保证金规定的实施,股票价格变得更容易接近,这对市场交易量产生了积极影响。我们加入了一个现实的订单簿机制,以保持跟踪出价和要价订单。根据交易者的策略,他们可以分为基本面交易者和噪音交易者。我们还根据每只股票的周交易量为其设定了动态风险水平。只有基本面才是有风险意识的。也就是说,他们倾向于购买低风险的股票,而避开高风险的股票。我们发现,在每日保证金规定的市场情况下,出现了价格波动的新模式。有风险意识的群体行为,尽管没有被明确地建模为输入,但也会在系统中自发地出现。这些模式的出现是由于股票的动态风险水平、风险意识强的交易员和每日价格保证金监管之间的复杂关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Price dynamics in artificial stock market with realistic order book mechanism
We analyzed the effect of the daily price margin on artificial stock markets. In our study, we have two distinct market scenarios: One designed to imitate a market akin to that of Türkiye, characterized by the presence of a daily price margin regulation, and the other reflecting a market resembling the United States, where orders are not subject to daily price margin constraints. With daily price margin regulations stock prices become more accessible, positively impacting market volume. We incorporated a realistic order book mechanism for keeping track of the bid and ask orders. Traders are classified as either fundamental or noise, according to their strategies. We have also established a dynamic risk level for each stock, based on its weekly transaction volumes. Only fundamentals are risk-aware. That is, they tend to order stocks with low risk and avoid high risk stocks. We have detected emerging patterns of price fluctuations within the market scenario governed by the daily price margin regulations. Risk-aware herd behavior, despite not being explicitly modeled as an input, emerges also spontaneously within the system. These patterns emerge because of the complex relationship among dynamic risk levels of stocks, risk-aware traders and the daily price margin regulation.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.30
自引率
8.30%
发文量
168
期刊介绍: The focus of the North-American Journal of Economics and Finance is on the economics of integration of goods, services, financial markets, at both regional and global levels with the role of economic policy in that process playing an important role. Both theoretical and empirical papers are welcome. Empirical and policy-related papers that rely on data and the experiences of countries outside North America are also welcome. Papers should offer concrete lessons about the ongoing process of globalization, or policy implications about how governments, domestic or international institutions, can improve the coordination of their activities. Empirical analysis should be capable of replication. Authors of accepted papers will be encouraged to supply data and computer programs.
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