西班牙感染性心内膜炎死亡率趋势(2003-2022年)

Lucía Cayuela , Aurelio Cayuela
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摘要

背景:感染性心内膜炎(IE)是一种危及生命的感染,具有很高的发病率和死亡率。与发病率相比,对ie相关死亡率趋势的研究较少。本研究旨在调查2003年至2022年西班牙IE死亡率趋势。方法这项纵向生态学研究分析了西班牙国家统计局的数据。计算年龄标准化死亡率(ASMRs),并使用连接点回归和年龄-时期-队列(APC)模型确定趋势和潜在因素。结果共发生25327例IE死亡,其中女性死亡人数较多。死亡率与年龄密切相关,其中绝大多数是65岁以上的人。联合点分析显示,所有年龄段的男性和65岁以上年龄组的asmr都在增加,而女性的比率保持稳定。35-64岁年龄组的男女发病率均有所下降。a - p - c分析证实年龄是显著影响因素,男女死亡率随年龄增长而增加。队列效应显示,连续出生队列的死亡风险下降,特别是那些在20世纪20年代和30年代之后出生的人。期间效应表明在研究期间IE死亡率风险下降。结论:西班牙的新生儿死亡率趋势复杂,在降低死亡率方面取得了重大进展,特别是在年轻人和妇女中。然而,挑战依然存在,尤其是对老年男性而言。这些发现强调了有针对性的干预和进一步研究的必要性,以了解导致死亡率变化的因素,并改善所有受IE影响的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mortality trends of infective endocarditis in Spain (2003-2022)

Background

Infective endocarditis (IE) is a life-threatening infection with high morbidity and mortality. Trends in IE-related mortality have been less extensively studied compared to incidence. This study aimed to examine IE mortality trends in Spain from 2003 to 2022.

Methods

This longitudinal ecological study analyzed data from the Spanish National Statistics Institute. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) were calculated, and joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort (APC) models were used to identify trends and underlying factors.

Results

A total of 25,327 deaths from IE occurred, with a higher number in women. Mortality was strongly age-related, with the vast majority in those over 65. Joinpoint analysis revealed increasing ASMRs in men for all ages and the 65+ age group, while rates remained stable in women. The 35–64 age group showed a decrease in rates for both sexes. A-P-C analysis confirmed age as a significant effect, with mortality rates increasing with age for both sexes. Cohort effects showed a decline in mortality risk in successive birth cohorts, particularly those born after the 1920s and 1930s. Period effects demonstrated a decline in IE mortality risk over the study period.

Conclusion

IE mortality trends in Spain are complex, with significant progress in reducing mortality rates, particularly among younger adults and women. However, challenges remain, especially for older men. These findings highlight the need for targeted interventions and further research to understand the factors driving mortality changes and improve outcomes for all affected by IE.
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