2019冠状病毒病大流行期间挪威关闭:危机可操作性和失控

IF 4.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
André R. Karlsen PhD
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引用次数: 0

摘要

COVID-19是现代最致命的危机之一,已感染并造成数百万人死亡。尽管管理大流行病的历史悠久,但COVID-19暴露了我们在危机管理知识方面的差距。危机是对一个制度的基本价值和准则的严重威胁,要求在时间紧迫和高度不确定的情况下作出关键决定。然而,正如在挪威进行的调查所表明的那样,将这场大流行病定义为危机的是人们认为的失控,而不是危机的特征。本文旨在研究与流行病相关的失控,以及这对危机管理意味着什么。用于回答这个问题的数据是从2019冠状病毒病管理中收集的,该管理在2020年3月12日挪威全国封锁中达到高潮。通过专题分析,我提出了一些失控的“菌株”:研究结果是,我们对失控的担忧与不确定性、关键性和紧迫性有关。例如,缺乏建立病毒模型的数据。此外,这与我们想要保护的东西的认识相结合。例如,当保护健康和福祉的系统受到压力时,它可能导致对情况缺乏控制的感觉。我的概念是,失控问题的核心是一种“危机可操作性”降低的体验,然后讨论“失控”的程度是如何有意义的,以解释什么让我们意识到威胁何时变成了危机。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Norwegian closedown during the COVID-19 pandemic: Crisis maneuverability and uncontrol
COVID-19 is one of the deadliest crises in modern times, having infected and caused deaths to millions. Despite a long history of managing pandemics, COVID-19 revealed gaps in our crisis management knowledge. A crisis is a serious threat to the fundamental values and norms of a system, demanding critical decisions under time pressure and highly uncertain circumstances. Yet, as investigations in Norway indicate, it was the perceived loss of control, rather than the characteristics of a crisis that defined the pandemic as a crisis. This paper aims to study losing control in relation to pandemics, and what it means for crisis management. The data used to answer this were gathered from the COVID-19 management that culminated in Norwegian national lockdown March 12th, 2020. Through a thematic analysis, I present some ‘strains’ of losing control: the findings are that the ‘nexus’ of our worries in losing control relates to uncertainty, criticality and urgency. For example, the lacking data for modeling the virus. Further, this is coupled with an acknowledgement that there are things we want to protect. For example, when the system that protects health and well-being is being pressured, it can lead to a sense of lacking control over the situation. I conceptualize that the core of the problem with losing control is an experience of decreasing ‘crisis maneuverability’, and then how it makes sense to talk about degrees of ‘uncontrol’ to explain what makes us recognize when a threat becomes a crisis.
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来源期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
18.00%
发文量
688
审稿时长
79 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.
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