麻疹传播动力学预防措施的分数阶建模:最优控制分析

Q1 Mathematics
Adedapo Chris Loyinmi , Alani Lateef Ijaola
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项研究中,我们提出了一个分数阶传播模型来研究麻疹的动力学和潜在控制,以便准确地代表其传播动力学。我们提出了一个改进的S, V, E, I和R(易感个体,接种个体,暴露个体,感染个体和恢复个体),这是一个可行的人群模型,具有配备饱和因子的发生率,以研究三种预防技术的综合影响,即公众意识,二次接种和严重情况下的适当治疗。在这里,我们假设在提出的模型中存在接种了第一剂疫苗的人群。通过稳定性分析,确定了导致入侵的参数、繁殖数、R0小于1,并采用Adams Bashforth预测校正法对分数阶模型进行了数值求解。此外,还模拟了预防措施和分数阶(α)的效果,图形解的结果表明,如果措施实施得当,这些措施有助于使疾病的轨迹平坦化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Fractional order modeling of prophylactic measures on the transmission dynamics of measles: An optimal control analysis
In this study, we presented a fractional order transmission model to investigate the dynamics and potential controls for measles, in order to accurately represent the dynamics of its transmission. We propose a modified S, V, E, I and R (Susceptible, Vaccinated, Exposed, Infectious and Recovered individuals), a workable human population model with an incident rate equipped with a saturation factor to investigate the combined impact of three prophylactic techniques, which are public awareness, second dose vaccination and proper treatment in case of severity.. Here, we assumed there is a vaccinated population that has taken first dose in the proposed model. We established among other things, the parameter responsible for invasion, the reproductive number,R0 is less than unity through the stability analysis and the numerical solution of the fractional order model was done using the Adams Bashforth predictor-corrector method. In addition, the effects of the prophylactic measures and the fractional order (α) were simulated and findings from the graphical solutions depict that these measures aid in flattening out the trajectory of the disease if measure are properly implemented.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
138
审稿时长
14 weeks
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