基于深度学习的特征融合与预测方法的股票市场预测

IF 6.6 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Tzu-Chia Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

一般来说,股票市场预测是当前一个著名的研究课题。现有的预测方法是建立在计量和统计方法的基础上的。然而,这些方法在处理非平稳时间序列数据时比较复杂。因此,本研究开发了一种利用混合深度学习方法进行股市预测的新方法。在这项工作中,预处理阶段最初是在yeo- johnson变换和基于填充的傅立叶变换(FT)去噪模型的帮助下完成的。之后,提取技术指标,如威廉姆斯的%R,变化率,三指数移动平均线(TRIX),平均方向指数(ADX),平均真实范围(ATR)和相对强度指数(RSI)。然后,利用Morisita的重叠指数和深度信念网络(Deep Belief Network, DBN)模型进行特征融合。最后,利用深度长短期记忆(Deep LSTM)和多层感知器(multilayer Perceptron, MLP)相结合的混合方法进行股市预测。此外,将该模型与基于填充的傅里叶变换去噪(P-FTD)+递归神经网络(RNN)、前馈神经网络(FNN)+反向传播神经网络(BPNN)、残差- cnn - seq2seq (RCSNet)、长短期记忆(LSTM)、基于竞争反馈粒子群优化的深度递归神经网络(cfpso - Deep RNN)和Rider Deep LSTM等传统模型进行了比较。RNN深处。最后,实验分析表明,深度LSTM-MLP的MSE、RMSE和MAE分别为0.113、0.337和0.169,性能优于传统方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deep learning-based feature fusion and Forecasting approach for stock market Prediction
Generally, stock market prediction is a current renowned research topic. The existing prediction approaches are on the basis of the econometric and statistical approaches. Nevertheless, these approaches are complex to pact with non-stationary time series data. Thus, this study develops a new approach for stock market prediction utilizing a hybrid deep learning approach. In this work, the pre-processing stage is done initially with the assistance of yeo-jhonson transformation and padding-based Fourier transform (FT) denoising model. After that, technical indicators, like Williams’s %R, Rate of Change, Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX), Average Directional Index (ADX), Average True Range (ATR), and Relative Strength Index (RSI), are extracted. Subsequently, the feature fusion procedure is done by utilizing Morisita's overlap index and Deep Belief Network (DBN) model. Lastly, stock market forecasting is done by a hybrid approach integrating Deep Long Short-Term Memory (Deep LSTM) and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP). Moreover, the proposed model is compared with the conventional models, such as Padding-based Fourier Transform Denoising (P-FTD)+Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Feedforward Neural Network (FNN)+Back-propagation Neural Network (BPNN), Residual-CNN-Seq2Seq (RCSNet), Long short-term memory (LSTM), Competitive Feedback Particle Swarm Optimization-based Deep Recurrent Neural Network (CFPSO-based Deep RNN) and Rider Deep LSTM & Deep RNN. Finally, the experimentation analysis states that the performance of Deep LSTM-MLP is superior to conventional approaches regarding the MSE, RMSE and MAE with the values of 0.113, 0.337, and 0.169.
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来源期刊
Applied Soft Computing
Applied Soft Computing 工程技术-计算机:跨学科应用
CiteScore
15.80
自引率
6.90%
发文量
874
审稿时长
10.9 months
期刊介绍: Applied Soft Computing is an international journal promoting an integrated view of soft computing to solve real life problems.The focus is to publish the highest quality research in application and convergence of the areas of Fuzzy Logic, Neural Networks, Evolutionary Computing, Rough Sets and other similar techniques to address real world complexities. Applied Soft Computing is a rolling publication: articles are published as soon as the editor-in-chief has accepted them. Therefore, the web site will continuously be updated with new articles and the publication time will be short.
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