{"title":"同甘共苦:地缘政治风险会影响企业创新吗?全球供应链视角","authors":"Ziyin Huang , Zhuopin Guo , Junsong Chen , Jin Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104474","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Two theories offer conflicting predictions on the relationship between uncertainty from geopolitical risks (GPR) and firm innovative investment and have not yet reached a consensus. To reconcile the two strands of literature and provide a fuller picture of GPR's effect, we explore the influence of GPR on companies' R&D investment in the global supply chain setting. By applying the customer-induced GPR we find that GPR has a positive impact on R&D investment. The results are robust after using different measures of GPR and instrumental variable approach. Moreover, we investigate the mechanism through which GPR affects firm R&D investment and find that growth option and firm liquidity are the main mechanisms. Further empirical analysis indicates that this positive impact is strengthened for firms that operate in high-tech industries, or have weaker political connections. Moreover, the positive impact of customer-induced GPR only generates when the largest company has a high sales proportion of the focal company.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"106 ","pages":"Article 104474"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Sharing weal and woe: Do geopolitical risks affect corporate innovation? A global supply chain perspective\",\"authors\":\"Ziyin Huang , Zhuopin Guo , Junsong Chen , Jin Huang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104474\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Two theories offer conflicting predictions on the relationship between uncertainty from geopolitical risks (GPR) and firm innovative investment and have not yet reached a consensus. To reconcile the two strands of literature and provide a fuller picture of GPR's effect, we explore the influence of GPR on companies' R&D investment in the global supply chain setting. By applying the customer-induced GPR we find that GPR has a positive impact on R&D investment. The results are robust after using different measures of GPR and instrumental variable approach. Moreover, we investigate the mechanism through which GPR affects firm R&D investment and find that growth option and firm liquidity are the main mechanisms. Further empirical analysis indicates that this positive impact is strengthened for firms that operate in high-tech industries, or have weaker political connections. Moreover, the positive impact of customer-induced GPR only generates when the largest company has a high sales proportion of the focal company.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48226,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Review of Financial Analysis\",\"volume\":\"106 \",\"pages\":\"Article 104474\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Review of Financial Analysis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1057521925005617\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Review of Financial Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1057521925005617","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Sharing weal and woe: Do geopolitical risks affect corporate innovation? A global supply chain perspective
Two theories offer conflicting predictions on the relationship between uncertainty from geopolitical risks (GPR) and firm innovative investment and have not yet reached a consensus. To reconcile the two strands of literature and provide a fuller picture of GPR's effect, we explore the influence of GPR on companies' R&D investment in the global supply chain setting. By applying the customer-induced GPR we find that GPR has a positive impact on R&D investment. The results are robust after using different measures of GPR and instrumental variable approach. Moreover, we investigate the mechanism through which GPR affects firm R&D investment and find that growth option and firm liquidity are the main mechanisms. Further empirical analysis indicates that this positive impact is strengthened for firms that operate in high-tech industries, or have weaker political connections. Moreover, the positive impact of customer-induced GPR only generates when the largest company has a high sales proportion of the focal company.
期刊介绍:
The International Review of Financial Analysis (IRFA) is an impartial refereed journal designed to serve as a platform for high-quality financial research. It welcomes a diverse range of financial research topics and maintains an unbiased selection process. While not limited to U.S.-centric subjects, IRFA, as its title suggests, is open to valuable research contributions from around the world.