WRFDA对热带气旋FY-4B AGRI全天同化的初步研究

IF 4.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Chun Yang , Tingting Zhong , Jinzhong Min
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在WRFDA(天气研究与预报模式数据同化)系统中,为风云- 4b (FY-4B)携带的AGRI(先进地球静止辐射成像仪)开发了一个新的同化模块。利用循环同化试验评价了同化FY-4B AGRI晴空和全天资料对台风“鹰”(2023)和“塔利姆”(2023)预报的影响。对于台风“独瑞”,与基准试验相比,AGRI同化能更好地分析和预报大气变量(风、温度和湿度)。同时,通过晴空和全天AGRI同化,可以明显减少台风路径和强度预报的误差。通过与GPM (Global precipitation Measurement)降水数据的验证,也得到了对着陆降水预测的积极影响。此外,AGRI全天同化对台风的预报优于晴空同化。此外,通过分组实验对AGRI同化的信道选择敏感性进行了评价。结果表明,在FY-4B中新增的7.42 μm水汽通道的同化作用下,多通道同化比单通道同化更有利于预报。AGRI同化对台风塔利姆(2023)预报也有同样的积极影响。总体而言,FY-4B AGRI水汽通道资料的全天同化有利于台风预报。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A preliminary study of FY-4B AGRI all-sky assimilation by WRFDA for tropical cyclones
A new assimilation module for AGRI (Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager) carried on Fengyun-4B (FY-4B) is developed within the WRFDA (Weather Research and Forecasting model's Data Assimilation) system. The impacts of assimilating FY-4B AGRI clear-sky and all-sky data are evaluated with cycling assimilation experiments for the typhoon Doksuri (2023) and Talim (2023) forecast. For typhoon Doksuri, compared with the benchmark experiment, AGRI assimilation brings a better analysis and forecast for atmospheric variables (wind, temperature and humidity). Meanwhile, clear error reductions for typhoon track and intensity forecasts are achieved with clear-sky and all-sky AGRI assimilation. The positive impact on landing precipitation prediction is also obtained by verifying with GPM (Global Precipitation Measurement) precipitation data. Moreover, AGRI all-sky assimilation yields better typhoon forecasts than clear-sky assimilation. In addition, the channel selection sensitivity for AGRI assimilation is also assessed with group experiments. It is suggested that with the assimilation of a new water vapor channel at 7.42 μm, which is newly added in FY-4B, multiple-channel assimilation shows greater benefit for forecast than single-channel assimilation. The same positive impact of AGRI assimilation is also present in typhoon Talim (2023) forecast. Overall, the all-sky assimilation of FY-4B AGRI water vapor channels data is beneficial for the typhoon forecast.
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来源期刊
Atmospheric Research
Atmospheric Research 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
10.90%
发文量
460
审稿时长
47 days
期刊介绍: The journal publishes scientific papers (research papers, review articles, letters and notes) dealing with the part of the atmosphere where meteorological events occur. Attention is given to all processes extending from the earth surface to the tropopause, but special emphasis continues to be devoted to the physics of clouds, mesoscale meteorology and air pollution, i.e. atmospheric aerosols; microphysical processes; cloud dynamics and thermodynamics; numerical simulation, climatology, climate change and weather modification.
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