[室室模型相关组合模型在传染病预测中的应用进展]。

Q1 Medicine
W H Hu, H M Sun, Y K Chang, J W Chen, Z C Du, Y Y Wei, Y T Hao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

隔间模型、基于主体的模型、时间序列模型和机器学习等方法可用于传染病发病率的预测。当疾病流行很复杂时,通常很难使用单一模型全面和准确地捕捉疾病的多维性。探索不同模型的组合应用逐渐成为近年来的研究趋势和热点,组合模型的预测性能往往优于单一模型。目前与组合模型相关的研究主要集中在机器学习或隔间模型上。本文就隔室模型与其他模型的结合进行综述,总结其结合原理、应用进展及优缺点,以期促进传染病发病率预测组合模型的创新与应用,为传染病防控建立更加智能高效的预警预测方法或系统。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
[Progress in application of compartment model-related combined models in infectious disease prediction].

Methods such as compartmental models, agent-based models, time series models, and machine learning can be used for the prediction of infectious disease incidence. When disease epidemics are complex, it is often difficult to use a single model to comprehensively and accurately capture the multi dimensional nature of the disease. Exploring the combined application of different models has gradually become a research trend and hotspot in recent years, and the prediction performance of combined models is often better than that of single ones. Current research related to combined models mainly focus on machine learning or compartmental models. In this review, we focus on the combination of compartmental models and other models, and summarize their combination principles, application progress, and advantages or disadvantages for the purpose of promoting the innovation and application of combined models for infectious disease incidence prediction, and establishing a more intelligent and efficient early warning and prediction method or systems for the prevention and control of infectious disease.

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来源期刊
中华流行病学杂志
中华流行病学杂志 Medicine-Medicine (all)
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8981
期刊介绍: Chinese Journal of Epidemiology, established in 1981, is an advanced academic periodical in epidemiology and related disciplines in China, which, according to the principle of integrating theory with practice, mainly reports the major progress in epidemiological research. The columns of the journal include commentary, expert forum, original article, field investigation, disease surveillance, laboratory research, clinical epidemiology, basic theory or method and review, etc.  The journal is included by more than ten major biomedical databases and index systems worldwide, such as been indexed in Scopus, PubMed/MEDLINE, PubMed Central (PMC), Europe PubMed Central, Embase, Chemical Abstract, Chinese Science and Technology Paper and Citation Database (CSTPCD), Chinese core journal essentials overview, Chinese Science Citation Database (CSCD) core database, Chinese Biological Medical Disc (CBMdisc), and Chinese Medical Citation Index (CMCI), etc. It is one of the core academic journals and carefully selected core journals in preventive and basic medicine in China.
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