{"title":"基于实验室的衰弱指数在老年创伤患者髋部骨折风险预测中的发展。","authors":"Malou-Sophie Dietrich,Emmanouil Liodakis,Stephan Sehmisch,Marcel Winkelmann,Manfred Gogol","doi":"10.1007/s11357-025-01789-1","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study aimed to develop a laboratory-based frailty index (FI-Lab) to predict 12-month mortality risk in elderly patients following a hip fracture (HF). A retrospective analysis of 235 consecutive patients over 70 years old, who underwent HF surgery, was conducted. The FI-Lab, based on 21 routine blood parameters, was evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristics, Area Under the Curve (AUC), Kaplan-Meier curves, and Cox proportional Hazard ratios. The FI-Lab showed an AUC of 0.7177 for 6-month and 0.7423 for 1-year survival. High FI-Lab values correlated with higher preoperative ASA scores, longer time-to-surgery times, more perioperative transfusions, and higher postoperative complication rates. The Cox hazard ratio revealed a significant increase in the risk of death for 1 year and 6 months from a score of 0.4 and higher. These findings highlight the FI-Lab's clinical relevance and validity as a predictive tool, emphasizing the need for differentiated perioperative risk stratification.","PeriodicalId":12730,"journal":{"name":"GeroScience","volume":"74 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Development of a laboratory-based frailty index for risk prediction in elderly trauma patients with hip fractures.\",\"authors\":\"Malou-Sophie Dietrich,Emmanouil Liodakis,Stephan Sehmisch,Marcel Winkelmann,Manfred Gogol\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s11357-025-01789-1\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This study aimed to develop a laboratory-based frailty index (FI-Lab) to predict 12-month mortality risk in elderly patients following a hip fracture (HF). A retrospective analysis of 235 consecutive patients over 70 years old, who underwent HF surgery, was conducted. The FI-Lab, based on 21 routine blood parameters, was evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristics, Area Under the Curve (AUC), Kaplan-Meier curves, and Cox proportional Hazard ratios. The FI-Lab showed an AUC of 0.7177 for 6-month and 0.7423 for 1-year survival. High FI-Lab values correlated with higher preoperative ASA scores, longer time-to-surgery times, more perioperative transfusions, and higher postoperative complication rates. The Cox hazard ratio revealed a significant increase in the risk of death for 1 year and 6 months from a score of 0.4 and higher. These findings highlight the FI-Lab's clinical relevance and validity as a predictive tool, emphasizing the need for differentiated perioperative risk stratification.\",\"PeriodicalId\":12730,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"GeroScience\",\"volume\":\"74 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"GeroScience\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11357-025-01789-1\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"GeroScience","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11357-025-01789-1","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Development of a laboratory-based frailty index for risk prediction in elderly trauma patients with hip fractures.
This study aimed to develop a laboratory-based frailty index (FI-Lab) to predict 12-month mortality risk in elderly patients following a hip fracture (HF). A retrospective analysis of 235 consecutive patients over 70 years old, who underwent HF surgery, was conducted. The FI-Lab, based on 21 routine blood parameters, was evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristics, Area Under the Curve (AUC), Kaplan-Meier curves, and Cox proportional Hazard ratios. The FI-Lab showed an AUC of 0.7177 for 6-month and 0.7423 for 1-year survival. High FI-Lab values correlated with higher preoperative ASA scores, longer time-to-surgery times, more perioperative transfusions, and higher postoperative complication rates. The Cox hazard ratio revealed a significant increase in the risk of death for 1 year and 6 months from a score of 0.4 and higher. These findings highlight the FI-Lab's clinical relevance and validity as a predictive tool, emphasizing the need for differentiated perioperative risk stratification.
GeroScienceMedicine-Complementary and Alternative Medicine
CiteScore
10.50
自引率
5.40%
发文量
182
期刊介绍:
GeroScience is a bi-monthly, international, peer-reviewed journal that publishes articles related to research in the biology of aging and research on biomedical applications that impact aging. The scope of articles to be considered include evolutionary biology, biophysics, genetics, genomics, proteomics, molecular biology, cell biology, biochemistry, endocrinology, immunology, physiology, pharmacology, neuroscience, and psychology.