{"title":"细节决定成败:信用评级公告中的信息会影响派息政策吗?","authors":"Konstantinos Kakouris , Evangelos Charalambakis , Dimitrios Psychoyios","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101153","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While recent studies have explored how firms react to credit rating events, the specific impact of news disclosed in credit rating change announcements on dividend policy remains largely unexplored. We analyze a sample of dividend paying firms that consistently paid dividends from 1995 to 2019 to examine whether, and to what extent, firms adjust dividend policy in credit rating shocks. Focusing on the type of information conveyed to the capital markets, we identify three types of downgrades, namely, “bad”, “good”, and “systemic” and upgrades associated with strong financial performance. We provide evidence that firms smooth dividends more under a “good” downgrade and less under a “bad” downgrade, a “systemic” downgrade and an upgrade. In favor of this finding, we show that dividend forecast errors are positively associated with “bad” downgrades, “systemic” downgrades and upgrades, but are not associated with “good” downgrades.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 101153"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The devil is in the details: Does information in credit rating announcements affect dividend policy?\",\"authors\":\"Konstantinos Kakouris , Evangelos Charalambakis , Dimitrios Psychoyios\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101153\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>While recent studies have explored how firms react to credit rating events, the specific impact of news disclosed in credit rating change announcements on dividend policy remains largely unexplored. We analyze a sample of dividend paying firms that consistently paid dividends from 1995 to 2019 to examine whether, and to what extent, firms adjust dividend policy in credit rating shocks. Focusing on the type of information conveyed to the capital markets, we identify three types of downgrades, namely, “bad”, “good”, and “systemic” and upgrades associated with strong financial performance. We provide evidence that firms smooth dividends more under a “good” downgrade and less under a “bad” downgrade, a “systemic” downgrade and an upgrade. In favor of this finding, we show that dividend forecast errors are positively associated with “bad” downgrades, “systemic” downgrades and upgrades, but are not associated with “good” downgrades.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46907,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Global Finance Journal\",\"volume\":\"67 \",\"pages\":\"Article 101153\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Global Finance Journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1044028325000808\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Global Finance Journal","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1044028325000808","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
The devil is in the details: Does information in credit rating announcements affect dividend policy?
While recent studies have explored how firms react to credit rating events, the specific impact of news disclosed in credit rating change announcements on dividend policy remains largely unexplored. We analyze a sample of dividend paying firms that consistently paid dividends from 1995 to 2019 to examine whether, and to what extent, firms adjust dividend policy in credit rating shocks. Focusing on the type of information conveyed to the capital markets, we identify three types of downgrades, namely, “bad”, “good”, and “systemic” and upgrades associated with strong financial performance. We provide evidence that firms smooth dividends more under a “good” downgrade and less under a “bad” downgrade, a “systemic” downgrade and an upgrade. In favor of this finding, we show that dividend forecast errors are positively associated with “bad” downgrades, “systemic” downgrades and upgrades, but are not associated with “good” downgrades.
期刊介绍:
Global Finance Journal provides a forum for the exchange of ideas and techniques among academicians and practitioners and, thereby, advances applied research in global financial management. Global Finance Journal publishes original, creative, scholarly research that integrates theory and practice and addresses a readership in both business and academia. Articles reflecting pragmatic research are sought in areas such as financial management, investment, banking and financial services, accounting, and taxation. Global Finance Journal welcomes contributions from scholars in both the business and academic community and encourages collaborative research from this broad base worldwide.