{"title":"1999-2022年美国皮肤多发性肌炎死亡率趋势:一项基于全国人群的研究","authors":"Elizabeth Matz, Ram R Singh","doi":"10.1002/acr.25609","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>We evaluated trends in dermato-polymyositis (DPM) mortality relative to all-cause mortality in the United States, 1999-2022.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's databases (Multiple Causes of Death for 1999-2020 and Provisional Mortality Statistics for 2021 and 2022) to obtain death counts for DPM and non-DPM (all causes other than DPM). We calculated age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for both groups and computed the ratio of DPM-ASMR to non-DPM-ASMR for each of the 24 years. We performed joinpoint regression analysis to estimate annual percent change (APC) in DPM and non-DPM ASMRs and in the DPM-ASMR:non-DPM-ASMR ratios, overall and by sex, age, and race/ethnicity.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There were 12,882 DPM and 63,549,485 non-DPM deaths during 1999-2022. Mortality decreased at a higher APC (-3.8% [95% CI, -4.3%, -3.4%]) for DPM than non-DPM (-1.2% [95% CI, -1.5%, -0.9%]) until the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, when it increased for both at similar APCs. Consequently, the ratios of DPM-ASMRs to non-DPM-ASMRs decreased over these 24 years in all subgroups. The DPM-ASMR to non-DPM-ASMR ratios were higher in females than males, and in younger individuals (≤64 years) than those ≥65 years. The odds of premature death were higher for DPM than non-DPM. Non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic others had higher DPM-ASMR to non-DPM-ASMR ratios than White individuals.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>DPM mortality decreased at a higher rate than all-cause mortality until the pandemic, when it proportionately increased for both DPM and all causes. Females, younger, Black, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic other individuals had higher DPM mortality relative to all-cause mortality. Findings highlight the need for improved screening, earlier intervention, and targeted efforts to address racial/ethnic disparities in DPM outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":8406,"journal":{"name":"Arthritis Care & Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Trends in Dermato-polymyositis Mortality, 1999-2022: A Nationwide Population-based Study, United States.\",\"authors\":\"Elizabeth Matz, Ram R Singh\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/acr.25609\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>We evaluated trends in dermato-polymyositis (DPM) mortality relative to all-cause mortality in the United States, 1999-2022.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's databases (Multiple Causes of Death for 1999-2020 and Provisional Mortality Statistics for 2021 and 2022) to obtain death counts for DPM and non-DPM (all causes other than DPM). We calculated age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for both groups and computed the ratio of DPM-ASMR to non-DPM-ASMR for each of the 24 years. We performed joinpoint regression analysis to estimate annual percent change (APC) in DPM and non-DPM ASMRs and in the DPM-ASMR:non-DPM-ASMR ratios, overall and by sex, age, and race/ethnicity.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There were 12,882 DPM and 63,549,485 non-DPM deaths during 1999-2022. Mortality decreased at a higher APC (-3.8% [95% CI, -4.3%, -3.4%]) for DPM than non-DPM (-1.2% [95% CI, -1.5%, -0.9%]) until the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, when it increased for both at similar APCs. Consequently, the ratios of DPM-ASMRs to non-DPM-ASMRs decreased over these 24 years in all subgroups. The DPM-ASMR to non-DPM-ASMR ratios were higher in females than males, and in younger individuals (≤64 years) than those ≥65 years. The odds of premature death were higher for DPM than non-DPM. Non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic others had higher DPM-ASMR to non-DPM-ASMR ratios than White individuals.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>DPM mortality decreased at a higher rate than all-cause mortality until the pandemic, when it proportionately increased for both DPM and all causes. Females, younger, Black, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic other individuals had higher DPM mortality relative to all-cause mortality. Findings highlight the need for improved screening, earlier intervention, and targeted efforts to address racial/ethnic disparities in DPM outcomes.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":8406,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Arthritis Care & Research\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Arthritis Care & Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1002/acr.25609\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"RHEUMATOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Arthritis Care & Research","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/acr.25609","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"RHEUMATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Trends in Dermato-polymyositis Mortality, 1999-2022: A Nationwide Population-based Study, United States.
Objective: We evaluated trends in dermato-polymyositis (DPM) mortality relative to all-cause mortality in the United States, 1999-2022.
Methods: We used the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's databases (Multiple Causes of Death for 1999-2020 and Provisional Mortality Statistics for 2021 and 2022) to obtain death counts for DPM and non-DPM (all causes other than DPM). We calculated age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for both groups and computed the ratio of DPM-ASMR to non-DPM-ASMR for each of the 24 years. We performed joinpoint regression analysis to estimate annual percent change (APC) in DPM and non-DPM ASMRs and in the DPM-ASMR:non-DPM-ASMR ratios, overall and by sex, age, and race/ethnicity.
Results: There were 12,882 DPM and 63,549,485 non-DPM deaths during 1999-2022. Mortality decreased at a higher APC (-3.8% [95% CI, -4.3%, -3.4%]) for DPM than non-DPM (-1.2% [95% CI, -1.5%, -0.9%]) until the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, when it increased for both at similar APCs. Consequently, the ratios of DPM-ASMRs to non-DPM-ASMRs decreased over these 24 years in all subgroups. The DPM-ASMR to non-DPM-ASMR ratios were higher in females than males, and in younger individuals (≤64 years) than those ≥65 years. The odds of premature death were higher for DPM than non-DPM. Non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic others had higher DPM-ASMR to non-DPM-ASMR ratios than White individuals.
Conclusion: DPM mortality decreased at a higher rate than all-cause mortality until the pandemic, when it proportionately increased for both DPM and all causes. Females, younger, Black, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic other individuals had higher DPM mortality relative to all-cause mortality. Findings highlight the need for improved screening, earlier intervention, and targeted efforts to address racial/ethnic disparities in DPM outcomes.
期刊介绍:
Arthritis Care & Research, an official journal of the American College of Rheumatology and the Association of Rheumatology Health Professionals (a division of the College), is a peer-reviewed publication that publishes original research, review articles, and editorials that promote excellence in the clinical practice of rheumatology. Relevant to the care of individuals with rheumatic diseases, major topics are evidence-based practice studies, clinical problems, practice guidelines, educational, social, and public health issues, health economics, health care policy, and future trends in rheumatology practice.