Eric B. Dent, John A. Parnell, William F. Martin, George Cabot Lodge
{"title":"“资本主义的未来”:50年回顾","authors":"Eric B. Dent, John A. Parnell, William F. Martin, George Cabot Lodge","doi":"10.1111/basr.70006","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>In 1974, <i>Business Society and Review/Innovation (BSR)</i> published “The Future of Capitalism: A Symposium,” in which six experts predicted the future of the US economic system. These experts agreed that in the future, capitalism would still be the primary economic system of the United States, but the government would play a more significant role. In 1975, Martin and Lodge surveyed <i>Harvard Business Review (HBR)</i> subscribers about the ideological underpinnings of capitalism and their predictions. Similarly, these subscribers believed that capitalism was dominant then but would evolve into a socially capitalistic format in the future. We updated their work fifty years later by surveying 1,635 managers and professionals in the US. Our findings suggest a growing preference for an ideology that retains some of the fundamentals of capitalism but modifies others. We propose polarity thinking as a framework that may best explain how the future US economy might be both capitalistic and communitarian without being socialist. This quasi-capitalist form is developing, but the specifics of its implementation in the future are unclear.</p>","PeriodicalId":46747,"journal":{"name":"BUSINESS AND SOCIETY REVIEW","volume":"130 2","pages":"132-151"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"“The future of capitalism”: A 50-year retrospective\",\"authors\":\"Eric B. Dent, John A. Parnell, William F. Martin, George Cabot Lodge\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/basr.70006\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>In 1974, <i>Business Society and Review/Innovation (BSR)</i> published “The Future of Capitalism: A Symposium,” in which six experts predicted the future of the US economic system. These experts agreed that in the future, capitalism would still be the primary economic system of the United States, but the government would play a more significant role. In 1975, Martin and Lodge surveyed <i>Harvard Business Review (HBR)</i> subscribers about the ideological underpinnings of capitalism and their predictions. Similarly, these subscribers believed that capitalism was dominant then but would evolve into a socially capitalistic format in the future. We updated their work fifty years later by surveying 1,635 managers and professionals in the US. Our findings suggest a growing preference for an ideology that retains some of the fundamentals of capitalism but modifies others. We propose polarity thinking as a framework that may best explain how the future US economy might be both capitalistic and communitarian without being socialist. This quasi-capitalist form is developing, but the specifics of its implementation in the future are unclear.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46747,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"BUSINESS AND SOCIETY REVIEW\",\"volume\":\"130 2\",\"pages\":\"132-151\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"BUSINESS AND SOCIETY REVIEW\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/basr.70006\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"BUSINESS AND SOCIETY REVIEW","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/basr.70006","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BUSINESS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
1974年,《商业社会与评论/创新》(Business Society and Review/Innovation, BSR)出版了《资本主义的未来:研讨会》(The Future of Capitalism: A Symposium),六位专家在会上预测了美国经济体系的未来。这些专家一致认为,在未来,资本主义仍将是美国的主要经济制度,但政府将发挥更重要的作用。1975年,马丁和洛奇对《哈佛商业评论》(HBR)的订户进行了调查,了解资本主义的意识形态基础及其预测。同样,这些订阅者认为,当时资本主义占主导地位,但未来将演变成社会资本主义的形式。50年后,我们对1635名美国经理人和专业人士进行了调查,更新了他们的研究成果。我们的研究结果表明,人们越来越倾向于一种意识形态,这种意识形态保留了资本主义的一些基本要素,但修改了其他要素。我们提出两极思维作为一个框架,可以最好地解释未来的美国经济如何可能既是资本主义的,又是社区主义的,而不是社会主义的。这种准资本主义形式正在发展,但其未来实施的细节尚不清楚。
“The future of capitalism”: A 50-year retrospective
In 1974, Business Society and Review/Innovation (BSR) published “The Future of Capitalism: A Symposium,” in which six experts predicted the future of the US economic system. These experts agreed that in the future, capitalism would still be the primary economic system of the United States, but the government would play a more significant role. In 1975, Martin and Lodge surveyed Harvard Business Review (HBR) subscribers about the ideological underpinnings of capitalism and their predictions. Similarly, these subscribers believed that capitalism was dominant then but would evolve into a socially capitalistic format in the future. We updated their work fifty years later by surveying 1,635 managers and professionals in the US. Our findings suggest a growing preference for an ideology that retains some of the fundamentals of capitalism but modifies others. We propose polarity thinking as a framework that may best explain how the future US economy might be both capitalistic and communitarian without being socialist. This quasi-capitalist form is developing, but the specifics of its implementation in the future are unclear.
期刊介绍:
Business and Society Review addresses a wide range of ethical issues concerning the relationships between business, society, and the public good. Its contents are of vital concern to business people, academics, and others involved in the contemporary debate about the proper role of business in society. The journal publishes papers from all those working in this important area, including researchers and business professionals, members of the legal profession, government administrators and many others.