探讨三种气象因素对庆阳地区慢性阻塞性肺疾病住院率的影响及其具体效应量

IF 3.9 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Deshun Li, Jiyuan Dong, Xiaoju Liu, Jiayan Ge, Juan Shu, Lisha Zhu, Hairong Bao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目前还不清楚许多气象因素的变化与慢性阻塞性肺病住院几率的关系。大多数早期研究是不完整和非系统的,只描述了单一气候因素与慢性阻塞性肺病住院之间的关系。结果往往不一致。本研究旨在探讨3个气象因子(温度、DTR、相对湿度)与庆阳地区COPD日住院人数的关系,以及各气象指标对各亚群的滞后效应。基于2015 - 2019年庆阳市慢性阻塞性肺病住院人数和气象数据,采用广义加性模型(GAM)结合分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)研究3种气象因素对慢性阻塞性肺病住院人数的影响。同时,利用第95和第5百分位作为各气象指标的高、低效应节点,评价其与COPD入院的关系。温度、DTR和相对湿度与COPD入院呈倒J型、M型和w型暴露反应关系。冷效应和高DTR的负面影响在lag0-21达到顶峰。RR值分别为1.867 (95%CI:1.624,2.148)和1.542 (95%CI:1.215,1.959)。低湿负效应在0 ~ 7月最大,相对危险度(RR)为1.239 (95% CI:1.116,1.374)。这三个因素对65岁以上人群的负面影响更大。女性更容易受到寒冷的影响,而男性更容易受到高DTR和低湿度的影响。研究发现气象因素与慢性阻塞性肺病住院之间存在显著相关性。较低的温度、较高的昼夜温度变化和较低的湿度与入院风险增加有关,在不同年龄组和性别中观察到不同的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exploring the impact of three meteorological factors and their specific effect sizes on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease admission in Qingyang, China.

It's unclear exactly how variations in a number of meteorological factors relate to the chance of being hospitalized with COPD. The majority of earlier research was incomplete and non-systematic, describing only the association between a single climatic element and hospitalization for COPD. The results were often inconsistent. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between three meteorological factors (temperature, DTR, and relative humidity) and the daily hospital admissions of COPD in Qingyang, China, as well as to examine the lag effects of each meteorological indicator on various subgroups. Based on daily COPD hospital admissions and meteorological data in Qingyang City, China, from 2015 to 2019, a generalized additive model (GAM) combined with a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was used to examine the effects of three meteorological factors on COPD hospital admissions. At the same time, the 95th and 5th percentiles were utilized as the high and low effect nodes of each meteorological index to assess its relationship with COPD admission. Temperature, DTR, and relative humidity exhibited inverted J-, M-, and W-shaped exposure-response relationships with COPD admission. The negative effects of the cold effect and high DTR reached their peak at lag0-21. The RR values were 1.867 (95%CI:1.624,2.148) and 1.542 (95%CI:1.215,1.959), respectively. The highest negative effect of low humidity was in lag0-7, with RR values of 1.239 (95% CI:1.116,1.374). The three factors had a greater negative impact on those over 65 years old. Women were more susceptible to the cold, but men were more vulnerable to high DTR and low humidity. The study found significant correlations between meteorological factors and COPD hospitalizations. Lower temperatures, higher diurnal temperature variation, and lower humidity were associated with increased admission risks, with differential impacts observed across age groups and genders.

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来源期刊
Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports Natural Science Disciplines-
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
4.30%
发文量
19567
审稿时长
3.9 months
期刊介绍: We publish original research from all areas of the natural sciences, psychology, medicine and engineering. You can learn more about what we publish by browsing our specific scientific subject areas below or explore Scientific Reports by browsing all articles and collections. Scientific Reports has a 2-year impact factor: 4.380 (2021), and is the 6th most-cited journal in the world, with more than 540,000 citations in 2020 (Clarivate Analytics, 2021). •Engineering Engineering covers all aspects of engineering, technology, and applied science. It plays a crucial role in the development of technologies to address some of the world''s biggest challenges, helping to save lives and improve the way we live. •Physical sciences Physical sciences are those academic disciplines that aim to uncover the underlying laws of nature — often written in the language of mathematics. It is a collective term for areas of study including astronomy, chemistry, materials science and physics. •Earth and environmental sciences Earth and environmental sciences cover all aspects of Earth and planetary science and broadly encompass solid Earth processes, surface and atmospheric dynamics, Earth system history, climate and climate change, marine and freshwater systems, and ecology. It also considers the interactions between humans and these systems. •Biological sciences Biological sciences encompass all the divisions of natural sciences examining various aspects of vital processes. The concept includes anatomy, physiology, cell biology, biochemistry and biophysics, and covers all organisms from microorganisms, animals to plants. •Health sciences The health sciences study health, disease and healthcare. This field of study aims to develop knowledge, interventions and technology for use in healthcare to improve the treatment of patients.
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