电动汽车类型选择模型:潜在类别建模方法

IF 4.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION
Hasan Shahrier, Muhammad Ahsanul Habib
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究建立了一个灵活的潜在类别模型(LCM)来研究哈利法克斯居民的电动汽车类型选择决策。它利用了2022年哈利法克斯旅行活动(HaliTRAC)调查的横截面数据,其中包括与电动汽车采用相关的问题。本研究还利用主成分分析法(PCA)分析了8种与态度和生活方式偏好相关的陈述,最终提取出“电动汽车爱好者”、“可持续旅行者”和“远程工作安排崇拜者”三个成分。本文探讨了纯电动汽车(BEV)、插电式混合动力汽车(PHEV)、混合动力汽车(HEV)和普通内燃机汽车(ICE)两类不同替代车型选择的异质性。根据类别成员属性,第一类可以确定为居住在郊区,拥有高车辆拥有量的大家庭,并且有兴趣与家人一起旅行,特别是与孩子一起旅行,第二类反之亦然。结果表明,两个类别之间的变量表现出异质性,例如,全职工人对第一类表现为正相关,对第二类表现为负相关;高家庭年收入群体(超过20万美元)对第二类纯电动汽车的选择倾向较高,对第一类纯电动汽车的选择倾向较高。可持续旅行者强调与普通汽车的负面联系,而电动汽车爱好者则表现出对任何类型的电动汽车(例如,纯电动汽车、插电式混合动力汽车或混合动力汽车)的好感。此外,该分析的结果为政策措施提供了指导,如提供购买激励、扩大充电基础设施和实施退税,以促进哈利法克斯居民对电动汽车的吸收。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electric vehicle (EV) type choice model: Latent class modelling approach
This study develops a flexible latent class model (LCM) to investigate the electric vehicle (EV) type choice decisions of Halifax residents. It utilizes cross-sectional data from the 2022 Halifax Travel Activity (HaliTRAC) survey, which includes questions related to EV adoption. This study also analyzes eight attitudes and lifestyle preferences related statements using the principal component analysis (PCA) technique, and finally extracts three components labeled as “EV enthusiasts”, “sustainable travellers”, and “remote work arrangement admirers”. This paper explores the heterogeneity between two classes for different alternative vehicle type choices, e.g., battery electric vehicle (BEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV), hybrid electric vehicle (HEV), and regular internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle. Based on class membership attributes, class-1 can be identified as those who live in suburban areas, have a large family with high vehicle ownership, and are interested in travelling with their family members, especially with their children and vice-versa for class-2. Results suggest that variables across two classes portray heterogeneity, e.g., full-time worker portray positive correlation for class-1 and negative to class-2; high annual household income group (more than $200 000) exhibit high propensity to choose BEV in class-2 and vice-versa for class-1. Sustainable travelers emphasize the adverse connection towards regular vehicles, while EV enthusiasts demonstrate a favorable association with embracing any type of EV (e.g., BEV, PHEV, or HEV). Furthermore, the findings from this analysis provide guidance for policy measures such as offering purchase incentives, expanding charging infrastructure, and implementing tax rebates to promote the uptake of EVs among the residents of Halifax.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology
International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology Engineering-Civil and Structural Engineering
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
105
审稿时长
88 days
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