Exploring Heterogeneity in Treatment Effects: The Impact and Interaction of Asset-Based Wealth and Mass Azithromycin Distribution on Child Mortality.

Objective: To examine how child mortality among children aged 1-59 months varies by asset-based wealth status in rural Burkina Faso and to assess the interaction between mass azithromycin distribution and wealth status on child mortality at both the household and community levels.

Methods: We used data from a cluster-randomized trial and a population census data on household characteristics and assets. A wealth index score for each household, used to classify the population by wealth was generated using principal component analysis. We used the Relative Index of Inequality (RII), the Slope Index of Inequality (SII), and the concentration index to assess wealth-related inequalities in mortality, and the Gini Index to assess variability in child mortality across households and communities. Poisson regression models were used with person-time at risk included as an offset and robust standard error to estimate changes in mortality rates by wealth and treatment arm. We assessed interaction on both the multiplicative and additive scales.

Results: Mortality declined with increasing wealth at both household and community levels, with a significant gradient at the community level (RII = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.05-1.29; SII = 2.3 per 1,000 person-years, 95% CI: 0.2-4.4), reflecting higher mortality among the poorest. The effect of AZ did not vary significantly by wealth index, and the change in mortality rates across wealth levels was similar between the two treatment arms. There was no statistically significant interaction between AZ and asset-based wealth on either a multiplicative or additive scale at the household or cluster level.

Conclusion: Our findings show a wealth gradient in child mortality, with households and communities in the poorest quintiles experiencing the highest mortality rates. These disparities were consistent across both AZ-treated and placebo groups, suggesting that AZ's role in health disparities may primarily address gaps in treatment access rather than broader wealth-related disparities. AZ appears to offer similar benefits across economically diverse communities, with no evidence suggesting enhanced benefits for disadvantaged communities or for prioritizing treatment based on wealth status. Further work is needed to address the wealth-related disparities in child mortality in these communities.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03676764.