将基于废水的流行病学与数据驱动的机器学习相结合,以管理公共卫生风险。

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-06 DOI:10.1111/risa.70075
Sheree Pagsuyoin, Calvin Ng, Nerissa Molejon, Yan Luo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

传统的卫生监测方法在公共卫生安全方面发挥着关键作用,但受到数据收集速度、覆盖范围和资源需求的限制。基于废水的流行病学(WBE)已成为一种通过分析污水中的疾病生物标志物来检测传染病的经济、快速的工具。大数据分析的最新进展通过实现预测建模和早期风险检测,加强了公共卫生监测。本文探讨了机器学习(ML)在WBE数据分析中的应用,重点是传染病监测和预测。我们强调了机器学习驱动的WBE预测模型的优势,包括它们处理多模式数据、预测疾病趋势和通过情景模拟评估政策影响的能力。我们还研究了数据质量、模型可解释性以及与现有公共卫生基础设施的集成等挑战。ML - WBE数据分析的集成使当前监测方法无法实现的快速健康数据收集、分析和解释成为可能。通过利用ML和WBE,决策者可以减少认知偏见,并加强对公共卫生威胁的数据驱动响应。随着全球健康风险的演变,WBE、ML和数据驱动决策之间的协同作用对改善公共卫生结果具有巨大潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Coupling wastewater-based epidemiology with data-driven machine learning for managing public health risks.

Traditional health surveillance methods play a critical role in public health safety but are limited by the data collection speed, coverage, and resource requirements. Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has emerged as a cost-effective and rapid tool for detecting infectious diseases through sewage analysis of disease biomarkers. Recent advances in big data analytics have enhanced public health monitoring by enabling predictive modeling and early risk detection. This paper explores the application of machine learning (ML) in WBE data analytics, with a focus on infectious disease surveillance and forecasting. We highlight the advantages of ML-driven WBE prediction models, including their ability to process multimodal data, predict disease trends, and evaluate policy impacts through scenario simulations. We also examine challenges such as data quality, model interpretability, and integration with existing public health infrastructure. The integration of ML WBE data analytics enables rapid health data collection, analysis, and interpretation that are not feasible in current surveillance approaches. By leveraging ML and WBE, decision makers can reduce cognitive biases and enhance data-driven responses to public health threats. As global health risks evolve, the synergy between WBE, ML, and data-driven decision-making holds significant potential for improving public health outcomes.

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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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