{"title":"持续风险下的社会贴现率:理论与数值分析","authors":"Hélène Schernberg","doi":"10.1111/jpet.70046","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Economic shocks can be felt for years or even decades. Social welfare functions that exhibit aversion to persistent consumption risk address several gaps in the social discounting literature. First, they allow analyzing the impact of risk aversion and dependences on discount rates. Second, they generate results with normative appeal: Persistent risk decreases the discount rates. Moreover, in the presence of persistent risk, the discount rates decrease with the social planner's risk aversion and her planning horizon. In addition, I provide an extended Ramsey equation for the persistent risk-averse social planner as well as a numerical application.</p>","PeriodicalId":47024,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economic Theory","volume":"27 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jpet.70046","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Social Discount Rates Under Persistent Risks: A Theoretical and Numerical Analysis\",\"authors\":\"Hélène Schernberg\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/jpet.70046\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Economic shocks can be felt for years or even decades. Social welfare functions that exhibit aversion to persistent consumption risk address several gaps in the social discounting literature. First, they allow analyzing the impact of risk aversion and dependences on discount rates. Second, they generate results with normative appeal: Persistent risk decreases the discount rates. Moreover, in the presence of persistent risk, the discount rates decrease with the social planner's risk aversion and her planning horizon. In addition, I provide an extended Ramsey equation for the persistent risk-averse social planner as well as a numerical application.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47024,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Public Economic Theory\",\"volume\":\"27 4\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-07-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jpet.70046\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Public Economic Theory\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jpet.70046\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Public Economic Theory","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jpet.70046","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Social Discount Rates Under Persistent Risks: A Theoretical and Numerical Analysis
Economic shocks can be felt for years or even decades. Social welfare functions that exhibit aversion to persistent consumption risk address several gaps in the social discounting literature. First, they allow analyzing the impact of risk aversion and dependences on discount rates. Second, they generate results with normative appeal: Persistent risk decreases the discount rates. Moreover, in the presence of persistent risk, the discount rates decrease with the social planner's risk aversion and her planning horizon. In addition, I provide an extended Ramsey equation for the persistent risk-averse social planner as well as a numerical application.
期刊介绍:
As the official journal of the Association of Public Economic Theory, Journal of Public Economic Theory (JPET) is dedicated to stimulating research in the rapidly growing field of public economics. Submissions are judged on the basis of their creativity and rigor, and the Journal imposes neither upper nor lower boundary on the complexity of the techniques employed. This journal focuses on such topics as public goods, local public goods, club economies, externalities, taxation, growth, public choice, social and public decision making, voting, market failure, regulation, project evaluation, equity, and political systems.