{"title":"空间传染期间盾构免疫的出现。","authors":"Christina M Jamerlan, Mikhail Prokopenko","doi":"10.1038/s44260-025-00044-0","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Contagions spreading across space-including epidemics, infodemics, and socio-economic turbulence - generate complex geo-spatial patterns shaped by contagion state and risk-driven population mobility. Distribution of resources for mitigating these contagions adds further complexity. We present a concise, generic framework to model various contagion types within a space characterized by bounded risk disposition parameters and generalized resource effectiveness. Specifically, we explore how (i) risk-averse behavior of \"inoculated\" individuals and (ii) resource effectiveness in reducing contagion \"incidence\" influence pattern formation and spread of infection, opinion polarization, social myths, and socio-economic disruptions. We show that \"inoculated\" individuals interacting with affected populations may help minimize contagion impact by curbing further transmission. We identify this as a generalized form of shield immunity and explain its emergence in terms of individual risk disposition. This shielding effect is strongest in socio-economic turbulence, moderate in epidemics, limited in social myth spreading, and not observed in polarization dynamics.</p>","PeriodicalId":501707,"journal":{"name":"npj Complexity","volume":"2 1","pages":"19"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12225409/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Emergence of shield immunity during spatial contagions.\",\"authors\":\"Christina M Jamerlan, Mikhail Prokopenko\",\"doi\":\"10.1038/s44260-025-00044-0\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Contagions spreading across space-including epidemics, infodemics, and socio-economic turbulence - generate complex geo-spatial patterns shaped by contagion state and risk-driven population mobility. Distribution of resources for mitigating these contagions adds further complexity. We present a concise, generic framework to model various contagion types within a space characterized by bounded risk disposition parameters and generalized resource effectiveness. Specifically, we explore how (i) risk-averse behavior of \\\"inoculated\\\" individuals and (ii) resource effectiveness in reducing contagion \\\"incidence\\\" influence pattern formation and spread of infection, opinion polarization, social myths, and socio-economic disruptions. We show that \\\"inoculated\\\" individuals interacting with affected populations may help minimize contagion impact by curbing further transmission. We identify this as a generalized form of shield immunity and explain its emergence in terms of individual risk disposition. This shielding effect is strongest in socio-economic turbulence, moderate in epidemics, limited in social myth spreading, and not observed in polarization dynamics.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":501707,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"npj Complexity\",\"volume\":\"2 1\",\"pages\":\"19\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12225409/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"npj Complexity\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1038/s44260-025-00044-0\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2025/6/4 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"npj Complexity","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s44260-025-00044-0","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/6/4 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Emergence of shield immunity during spatial contagions.
Contagions spreading across space-including epidemics, infodemics, and socio-economic turbulence - generate complex geo-spatial patterns shaped by contagion state and risk-driven population mobility. Distribution of resources for mitigating these contagions adds further complexity. We present a concise, generic framework to model various contagion types within a space characterized by bounded risk disposition parameters and generalized resource effectiveness. Specifically, we explore how (i) risk-averse behavior of "inoculated" individuals and (ii) resource effectiveness in reducing contagion "incidence" influence pattern formation and spread of infection, opinion polarization, social myths, and socio-economic disruptions. We show that "inoculated" individuals interacting with affected populations may help minimize contagion impact by curbing further transmission. We identify this as a generalized form of shield immunity and explain its emergence in terms of individual risk disposition. This shielding effect is strongest in socio-economic turbulence, moderate in epidemics, limited in social myth spreading, and not observed in polarization dynamics.