{"title":"平衡经济增长与养老金充足:降低缴费率与推迟退休年龄的联合效应","authors":"Minglu Wang , Yifan Pan , Peng Jing","doi":"10.1016/j.iref.2025.104362","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Pension contribution rate reduction and retirement age postponement are two key components of China's pension reform, albeit motivated by distinct policy objectives. This study develops an overlapping generations model to evaluate their effects on economic growth and pension adequacy and identify an appropriate policy mix. The results show that the two policies are theoretically complementary: reducing the contribution rate stimulates economic growth but lowers the pension replacement rate, whereas delaying the mandatory retirement age has the opposite effects. A well-calibrated policy mix can simultaneously promote economic growth and enhance pension adequacy when the output elasticity of physical capital declines or the technological progress accelerates. These findings remain robust when the model incorporates agent heterogeneity and human capital. Moreover, under a flexible retirement scheme, reducing the contribution rate has no discernible impact on economic growth, and the associated decline in pension adequacy is negligible. This suggests that combining contribution rate reduction with flexible retirement may constitute a more effective strategy for balancing economic growth and pension adequacy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14444,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Economics & Finance","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 104362"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Balancing economic growth and pension adequacy: The combined effects of contribution rate reduction and retirement age postponement\",\"authors\":\"Minglu Wang , Yifan Pan , Peng Jing\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.iref.2025.104362\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Pension contribution rate reduction and retirement age postponement are two key components of China's pension reform, albeit motivated by distinct policy objectives. This study develops an overlapping generations model to evaluate their effects on economic growth and pension adequacy and identify an appropriate policy mix. The results show that the two policies are theoretically complementary: reducing the contribution rate stimulates economic growth but lowers the pension replacement rate, whereas delaying the mandatory retirement age has the opposite effects. A well-calibrated policy mix can simultaneously promote economic growth and enhance pension adequacy when the output elasticity of physical capital declines or the technological progress accelerates. These findings remain robust when the model incorporates agent heterogeneity and human capital. Moreover, under a flexible retirement scheme, reducing the contribution rate has no discernible impact on economic growth, and the associated decline in pension adequacy is negligible. This suggests that combining contribution rate reduction with flexible retirement may constitute a more effective strategy for balancing economic growth and pension adequacy.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":14444,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Review of Economics & Finance\",\"volume\":\"102 \",\"pages\":\"Article 104362\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Review of Economics & Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1059056025005258\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Review of Economics & Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1059056025005258","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Balancing economic growth and pension adequacy: The combined effects of contribution rate reduction and retirement age postponement
Pension contribution rate reduction and retirement age postponement are two key components of China's pension reform, albeit motivated by distinct policy objectives. This study develops an overlapping generations model to evaluate their effects on economic growth and pension adequacy and identify an appropriate policy mix. The results show that the two policies are theoretically complementary: reducing the contribution rate stimulates economic growth but lowers the pension replacement rate, whereas delaying the mandatory retirement age has the opposite effects. A well-calibrated policy mix can simultaneously promote economic growth and enhance pension adequacy when the output elasticity of physical capital declines or the technological progress accelerates. These findings remain robust when the model incorporates agent heterogeneity and human capital. Moreover, under a flexible retirement scheme, reducing the contribution rate has no discernible impact on economic growth, and the associated decline in pension adequacy is negligible. This suggests that combining contribution rate reduction with flexible retirement may constitute a more effective strategy for balancing economic growth and pension adequacy.
期刊介绍:
The International Review of Economics & Finance (IREF) is a scholarly journal devoted to the publication of high quality theoretical and empirical articles in all areas of international economics, macroeconomics and financial economics. Contributions that facilitate the communications between the real and the financial sectors of the economy are of particular interest.