河南省粮食主产区耕地净生产力时空分异特征及影响因素[j]。

Q2 Environmental Science
Qiang-Song Xiao, Yu-Zhi Wang
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At the same time, using the net primary production (NPP) data set, Theil-Sen Median + Mann-Kendall trend analysis, Hurst index analysis, coefficient of variation analysis, partial correlation analysis, and partial correlation coefficient were used to explore the evolution of cultivated land productivity in Henan Province and quantify the impact of climate factors and human activities on cultivated land productivity. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

耕地资源作为粮食生产的重要基石,其数量和质量的波动直接关系到粮食生产的稳定,进而影响粮食的有效供给和粮食安全。近年来,面对人口增长带来的粮食需求压力,中国将耕地保护作为一项基本国策,制定并实施了一系列耕地保护与均衡调控战略。正因为如此,中国作为世界上最大的发展中国家,仅用世界上约9%的耕地资源,就成功地养活了世界上22%的人口。然而,城市建设用地扩张、土地退化、气候变化等因素仍对农业生产构成严峻挑战。河南省作为全国粮食生产的核心区,或称“中国粮仓”,在粮食生产中发挥着重要作用。为保障国家粮食安全,河南省提出了实施全国农业产业空间布局,提高粮食生产规模和集约化水平,引导农业现代化发展的农业空间发展战略。在具体实施层面,因地制宜地制定相应的耕地分区控制策略是关键。然而,由于缺乏对耕地生产力时空演变的研究,仍然无法摆脱以行政区划为控制单元的现实。因此,研究河南省耕地利用时空分异特征及耕地生产力变化的影响因素,对于科学制定耕地分区控制策略,实施国家主体功能区战略格局,守住土地空间安全底线,保障国家粮食安全具有重要意义。在此基础上,基于中国年度土地覆被数据集构建耕地利用转移矩阵,引入耕地景观格局指数,评价2000 - 2020年河南省耕地空间时空分异特征,并分析其变化原因。同时,利用净初级生产(NPP)数据集,采用Theil-Sen Median + Mann-Kendall趋势分析、Hurst指数分析、变异系数分析、偏相关分析和偏相关系数分析,探讨河南省耕地生产力的演变,量化气候因子和人类活动对耕地生产力的影响。结果表明:①考虑到城市建设用地规模的扩大,结合耕地调控政策和重大项目的影响,研究期间耕地出让面积远大于耕地出让面积,且耕地出让主要为建设用地,黄淮海平原和南阳盆地作为河南省粮食主产区的耕地波动较大。②研究期间,流转耕地破碎化程度显著增加。从空间分布上看,流入耕地比流出耕地更具碎片化特征,呈现出集中流出、接近建设用地、零星流入的空间变异特征。③耕地NPP年际分布存在显著差异,表现为南高北低。年际变化趋势逐渐增大(以C计算为4.23 g·m-2·a-1,下同),年平均值在78.16 ~ 1 080.58 g·m-2·a-1之间。④研究期内,96.61%的耕地NPP呈增长趋势,但不同增长率在研究区表现出明显的空间异质性,未来增长可能放缓或退化。⑤在气候因子中,太阳辐射对耕地NPP变化的贡献更为显著。总体上,人类活动促进了研究区耕地NPP的积累,但存在空间差异。耕地NPP减少面积占1.76%,且相对集中,主要是人类活动主导的城市建设空间扩张所致。同时,研究发现,耕地NPP减少的边际面积受气候影响,但呈增加趋势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
[Spatial-temporal Differentiation Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Cultivated Land NPP in Major Grain Producing Areas (Henan Province)].

As an important cornerstone of grain production, the fluctuation of the quantity and quality of cultivated land resources is directly related to the stability of grain production, which in turn affects the effective supply of grain and food security. In recent years, in the face of the pressure of food demand caused by population growth, China has promoted cultivated land protection as a basic national policy and formulated and implemented a series of strategies for cultivated land protection and balanced control. Because of this, as the world's largest developing country, China has successfully fed 22 % of the world's population with only approximately 9 % of the world's arable land resources. However, factors such as urban construction land expansion, land degradation, and climate change still pose severe challenges to agricultural production. Henan Province, as the core area of national grain production, or 'China granary', plays an important role. In order to ensure national food security, Henan Province has put forward the agricultural space development strategy of implementing the spatial layout of the national agricultural industry, improving the scale and intensive level of grain production, and guiding the development of agricultural modernization. At the specific implementation level, it is key to formulate relevant cultivated land zoning control strategies according to local conditions. However, due to the lack of research on the spatial and temporal evolution of cultivated land productivity, it is still impossible to get rid of the reality of taking administrative divisions as the control unit. Therefore, it is of great significance to explore the spatial and temporal differentiation characteristics of cultivated land use in Henan Province and the influencing factors of cultivated land productivity changes, so as to scientifically formulate the control strategy of cultivated land zoning, to implement the strategic pattern of national main functional areas, to keep the bottom line of land space security, and to ensure national food security. Based on this, this study constructs the transfer matrix of cultivated land use based on China's annual land cover data set and introduces the landscape pattern index of cultivated land to evaluate the spatial and temporal differentiation characteristics of cultivated land space in Henan Province from 2000 to 2020, and then the reasons for its change were analyzed. At the same time, using the net primary production (NPP) data set, Theil-Sen Median + Mann-Kendall trend analysis, Hurst index analysis, coefficient of variation analysis, partial correlation analysis, and partial correlation coefficient were used to explore the evolution of cultivated land productivity in Henan Province and quantify the impact of climate factors and human activities on cultivated land productivity. The results show that: ① Based on the expansion of urban construction land combined with the impact of cultivated land regulation policies and major projects, the area of cultivated land transferred out during the study period was much larger than the area of cultivated land transferred in, and the cultivated land was mainly transferred out for construction land, and the cultivated land in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain and Nanyang Basin, as the main grain producing areas in Henan Province, fluctuated greatly. ② During the study period, the degree of fragmentation of the transferred cultivated land increased significantly. From the perspective of spatial distribution, the transferred-in cultivated land was more fragmented than the transferred-out cultivated land, showing the spatial variation characteristics of concentrated transfer-out and close to construction land and sporadic transfer-in. ③ The interannual distribution of cultivated land NPP showed significant differences, namely, high in the south and low in the north. The interannual variation trend gradually increased (4.23 g·m-2·a-1, calculated by C, the same below), and the annual average value was between 78.16 and 1 080.58 g·m-2·a-1. ④ During the study period, 96.61 % of the cultivated land NPP showed an increasing trend, but the different growth rates showed obvious spatial heterogeneity in the study area, and the future growth may slow down or degrade. ⑤ The contribution of solar radiation to the change of NPP in cultivated land was more significant in climate factors. On the whole, human activities promoted the accumulation of NPP in cultivated land in the study area, but there were differences in space. The area of NPP reduction in cultivated land accounted for 1.76% and was relatively concentrated, mainly due to the expansion of urban construction space dominated by human activities. At the same time, the study found that the marginal area of cultivated land NPP reduction was affected by climate but showed an increasing trend.

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环境科学
环境科学 Environmental Science-Environmental Science (all)
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