2000 - 2020年陕西省植被动态对气候变化和人类活动的响应[j]。

Q2 Environmental Science
Ya-Jun Zhang, Pei Li, Meng Zhang, Fan Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

明确气候变化和人类活动对植被动态的影响对环境资源管理具有重要意义,因为植被在这两个因素的双重影响下会发生显著的变化。基于2000 - 2020年MODIS NDVI数据、气象数据和以土地覆盖数据为特征的人类活动强度(HAI),采用趋势分析、Hurst指数、偏相关分析、二元空间自相关和随机森林模型等方法进行研究。研究了气候变化和人类活动对陕西省整体及陕北、陕中、陕南三区植被动态的影响机制和贡献。结果表明:①2000 - 2020年,陕西省平均NDVI值为0.71,陕南地区NDVI值较高,陕中、陕北次之;研究期间,陕西省及三区NDVI总体呈增加趋势,87.1%的面积植被有显著改善,其中32.7%的面积有持续改善趋势。陕北地区植被改善最为显著。②NDVI对不同气候因子的响应不同。降水和平均温度对植被的促进作用最大,而太阳辐射对植被的抑制作用最大。③2000 ~ 2020年,陕西省平均HAI值为0.06,其中陕中地区较高,陕北次之,陕南次之,且随时间的推移呈上升趋势。陕北、陕中、陕南地区主要表现为高-低、低-高、低-低。④气候变化和人类活动影响下陕西省NDVI变化率分别为0.005.4 a-1和0.000 5 a-1,贡献率分别为91.5%和8.5%。在3个区域中,气候变化对植被变化均有正向贡献,其中陕北贡献最大。人类活动对陕北和陕南地区的贡献为正,其中陕北地区贡献最大,而陕中地区则为负。陕西省植被动态同时受到气候变化和人类活动的影响,但不同区域的影响机制存在差异。要根据各地区具体情况,科学制定生态保护规划。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
[Response of Vegetation Dynamics to Climate Change and Human Activities in Shaanxi Province from 2000 to 2020].

Clarifying the impacts of climate changes and human activities on vegetation dynamics is of significant importance to environmental resource managements, as vegetation undergoes notable changes under the dual influences of the two factors. Based on MODIS NDVI data, meteorological data, and human activity intensity (HAI) characterized by land cover data from 2000 to 2020, this study used methods such as trend analysis, Hurst index, partial correlation analysis, bivariate spatial autocorrelation, and random forest modeling. The impact mechanisms and contributions of climate changes and human activities on vegetation dynamics in Shaanxi Province as a whole and in its three regions (northern Shaanxi, central Shaanxi, and southern Shaanxi) were investigated. The results showed as follows: ① From 2000 to 2020, the average NDVI value in Shaanxi Province was 0.71, with a higher value in southern Shaanxi, followed by those in central and northern Shaanxi. During the study period, the overall NDVI of Shaanxi Province and its three regions showed an increasing trend, with a significant improvement in vegetation covering 87.1% of the area, of which 32.7% had a sustainable improvement trend. The most noticeable improvement in vegetation was observed in northern Shaanxi. ② The NDVI responded differently to various climatic factors. Precipitation and average temperature primarily promoted vegetation, while solar radiation had an inhibitory effect. ③ From 2000 to 2020, the average HAI value in Shaanxi Province was 0.06, with a higher value in central Shaanxi, followed by those in northern and southern Shaanxi, and exhibited an increasing trend over time. The cluster patterns were mainly described as high-low, low-high, and low-low in the northern, central, and southern Shaanxi regions, respectively. ④ The NDVI change rates under climate change and human activities were 0.005 4 a-1 and 0.000 5 a-1, respectively, with their contribution rate being 91.5% and 8.5%, in Shaanxi Province. In the three regions, climate change contributed positively to vegetation change, with the highest contribution observed in northern Shaanxi. Human activities contributed positively in northern and southern Shaanxi, with the highest contribution in northern Shaanxi, while in the central region, human activities showed a negative contribution. The vegetation dynamics in Shaanxi Province were influenced by both climate change and human activities, but the impact mechanisms varied across different regions. It is essential to develop scientifically tailored ecological protection plans based on the specific conditions of each region.

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环境科学
环境科学 Environmental Science-Environmental Science (all)
CiteScore
4.40
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