Xiaotian Qi , Soon-Thiam Khu , Pei Yu , Yang Liu , Tian-yi Cai , Mingna Wang
{"title":"评估不完整的雨水网数据对模拟结果不确定性的影响","authors":"Xiaotian Qi , Soon-Thiam Khu , Pei Yu , Yang Liu , Tian-yi Cai , Mingna Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133788","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Insufficient or erroneous stormwater network data can lead to significant uncertainties in model simulation results, which may adversely affect decision-making processes. Therefore, it is crucial to develop effective methodologies for evaluating and mitigating these uncertainties. This study assesses the impact of rainfall characteristics and spatial connectivity on the effects of missing parameters at both the system level and the local manhole level. The results indicate that: 1) At the system level, the absence of slope has a relatively minor impact, accounting for only 11 % to 13 % of the effects caused by the absence of diameter. 2) An increase in rainfall intensity correlates with a reduction in the relative error of simulation results, while a delayed rainfall peak mitigates the impact of parameter missingness. 3) As the spatial connectivity of pipes with missing parameters increases, the magnitude of the error also rises; specifically, in a rainfall event with a 1-year return period, the maximum errors for 2, 3, 5, and 10 connected pipes are 66, 79.8, 130.8, and 297 m<sup>3</sup>, respectively. 4) The impact of missing slope on manhole waterlogging is greater than that of missing pipe diameter. To keep the relative error of the manholes within 20 %, the percentage of missing slope should be kept below 10 %, while the percentage of missing diameter should be limited to below 30 %. These findings enhance our understanding of the influence of missing parameters on SWMM simulations and provide essential guidance for the processes of parameter simplification, calibration, and optimization.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":362,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology","volume":"661 ","pages":"Article 133788"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Assessing the impact of incomplete stormwater network data on uncertainty in simulation results\",\"authors\":\"Xiaotian Qi , Soon-Thiam Khu , Pei Yu , Yang Liu , Tian-yi Cai , Mingna Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133788\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Insufficient or erroneous stormwater network data can lead to significant uncertainties in model simulation results, which may adversely affect decision-making processes. Therefore, it is crucial to develop effective methodologies for evaluating and mitigating these uncertainties. This study assesses the impact of rainfall characteristics and spatial connectivity on the effects of missing parameters at both the system level and the local manhole level. The results indicate that: 1) At the system level, the absence of slope has a relatively minor impact, accounting for only 11 % to 13 % of the effects caused by the absence of diameter. 2) An increase in rainfall intensity correlates with a reduction in the relative error of simulation results, while a delayed rainfall peak mitigates the impact of parameter missingness. 3) As the spatial connectivity of pipes with missing parameters increases, the magnitude of the error also rises; specifically, in a rainfall event with a 1-year return period, the maximum errors for 2, 3, 5, and 10 connected pipes are 66, 79.8, 130.8, and 297 m<sup>3</sup>, respectively. 4) The impact of missing slope on manhole waterlogging is greater than that of missing pipe diameter. To keep the relative error of the manholes within 20 %, the percentage of missing slope should be kept below 10 %, while the percentage of missing diameter should be limited to below 30 %. These findings enhance our understanding of the influence of missing parameters on SWMM simulations and provide essential guidance for the processes of parameter simplification, calibration, and optimization.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":362,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Hydrology\",\"volume\":\"661 \",\"pages\":\"Article 133788\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Hydrology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169425011266\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, CIVIL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Hydrology","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169425011266","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, CIVIL","Score":null,"Total":0}
Assessing the impact of incomplete stormwater network data on uncertainty in simulation results
Insufficient or erroneous stormwater network data can lead to significant uncertainties in model simulation results, which may adversely affect decision-making processes. Therefore, it is crucial to develop effective methodologies for evaluating and mitigating these uncertainties. This study assesses the impact of rainfall characteristics and spatial connectivity on the effects of missing parameters at both the system level and the local manhole level. The results indicate that: 1) At the system level, the absence of slope has a relatively minor impact, accounting for only 11 % to 13 % of the effects caused by the absence of diameter. 2) An increase in rainfall intensity correlates with a reduction in the relative error of simulation results, while a delayed rainfall peak mitigates the impact of parameter missingness. 3) As the spatial connectivity of pipes with missing parameters increases, the magnitude of the error also rises; specifically, in a rainfall event with a 1-year return period, the maximum errors for 2, 3, 5, and 10 connected pipes are 66, 79.8, 130.8, and 297 m3, respectively. 4) The impact of missing slope on manhole waterlogging is greater than that of missing pipe diameter. To keep the relative error of the manholes within 20 %, the percentage of missing slope should be kept below 10 %, while the percentage of missing diameter should be limited to below 30 %. These findings enhance our understanding of the influence of missing parameters on SWMM simulations and provide essential guidance for the processes of parameter simplification, calibration, and optimization.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Hydrology publishes original research papers and comprehensive reviews in all the subfields of the hydrological sciences including water based management and policy issues that impact on economics and society. These comprise, but are not limited to the physical, chemical, biogeochemical, stochastic and systems aspects of surface and groundwater hydrology, hydrometeorology and hydrogeology. Relevant topics incorporating the insights and methodologies of disciplines such as climatology, water resource systems, hydraulics, agrohydrology, geomorphology, soil science, instrumentation and remote sensing, civil and environmental engineering are included. Social science perspectives on hydrological problems such as resource and ecological economics, environmental sociology, psychology and behavioural science, management and policy analysis are also invited. Multi-and interdisciplinary analyses of hydrological problems are within scope. The science published in the Journal of Hydrology is relevant to catchment scales rather than exclusively to a local scale or site.