企业数字化转型对管理层盈利预测准确性的影响

IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Xiao Zeng , Chenxi Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,随着数字技术逐步渗透到可持续经济和社会发展的各个方面,数字经济经历了强劲增长。因此,数字化转型已成为企业持续发展的必然趋势。为了探讨企业数字化转型对管理层盈余预测准确性的影响,我们以2010年至2023年在上海和深圳证券交易所上市的公司为样本进行了实证分析。我们的研究结果表明,企业数字化转型对管理层盈余预测的准确性有显著的积极影响。机制分析表明,数字化转型过程通过提高信息披露质量来提高管理层盈余预测的准确性。此外,异质性分析显示,在内部控制较弱、公司治理实践健全、代理成本较高、高管没有技术背景、竞争程度适中以及非国有企业中,数字化转型对管理层盈余预测准确性的积极影响更为明显。这些发现不仅为数字化转型的持久影响提供了新的证据,而且还为资本市场和国民经济之间的共生关系提供了见解。此外,他们还对预测性公司信息披露的监管提出了新的视角。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of corporate digital transformation on the accuracy of Management's earnings forecasts
In recent years, the digital economy has experienced robust growth, as digital technology progressively infiltrates every aspect of sustainable economic and societal advancement. Consequently, digital transformation has emerged as an inevitable and essential trend for the continuous advancement of firms. To explore the impact of corporate digital transformation on the accuracy of management earnings forecasts, we conduct an empirical analysis using a sample comprising companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange from 2010 to 2023. Our findings demonstrate a significant positive impact of corporate digital transformation on the accuracy of management earnings forecasts. Mechanism analysis reveals that the process of digital transformation enhances the accuracy of management earnings forecasts by improving the quality of information disclosure. Moreover, heterogeneity analyses reveal that the positive impact of digital transformation on the accuracy of management earnings forecasts is more pronounced in firms with weaker internal control, robust corporate governance practices, higher agency costs, executives without technical backgrounds, moderate levels of competition, and those that are non-state-owned enterprises. These findings not only provide fresh evidence of the enduring effects of digital transformation but also yield insights into the symbiotic relationship between the capital market and the national economy. Additionally, they present a novel perspective on the regulation of predictive corporate information disclosure.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.30
自引率
2.20%
发文量
253
期刊介绍: The International Review of Economics & Finance (IREF) is a scholarly journal devoted to the publication of high quality theoretical and empirical articles in all areas of international economics, macroeconomics and financial economics. Contributions that facilitate the communications between the real and the financial sectors of the economy are of particular interest.
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