一项前瞻性观察研究:儿童癌症危重症儿童死亡率风险指数IV和儿童死亡率指数3的比较表现

IF 1.5 Q3 CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE
Kushal R Kalvit, Shilpushp J Bhosale, Jacob G Pulinilkunnathi, Swapna C Vijayakumaran, Anjana M Shrivastava, Atul P Kulkarni
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景与目的:在儿科重症监护中,儿童死亡风险(PRISM)和儿童死亡指数(PIM)评分系统是应用最广泛的疾病严重程度评分系统。这些评分系统的当前版本(PRISM IV和PIM 3)尚未在危重肿瘤患者中得到验证。本研究的目的是评价PRISM IV和PIM 3在危重癌症患儿中的比较表现。患者和方法:在一项前瞻性观察研究中,在一个单中心、混合内科-外科ICU招募了约415名危重儿科患者。纳入预期ICU住院时间大于24小时的患者。收集计算PRISM IV和PIM 3评分所需的人口学、生理和实验室参数;收集入院前2小时至入院后4小时的实验室数据和入院后4小时内的生理数据。计算分数时考虑最差值。分数和预测的死亡风险都是通过在线计算器计算出来的。结果:ICU出院死亡率为32.7%,出院死亡率为36.1%。对于医院死亡率的预测,PRISM IV评分的AUROC为0.71,PIM 3估计死亡率(%)为0.78。PRISM IV评分和PIM 3估计死亡率(%)与住院死亡率之间存在统计学上显著的正相关。PRISM IV评分的logistic模型也通过了拟合优度检验,表明模型拟合良好。pim3模型的拟合优度检验表明,该模型可能不能很好地拟合数据,可能需要进一步调查或改进。结论:在危重儿科肿瘤患者中,PRISM IV和PIM 3评分对幸存者和非幸存者的区分能力均可接受。然而,只有PRISM IV评分在预测生存方面具有良好的校准效果。引用本文:Kalvit KR, Bhosale SJ, Pulinilkunnathi JG, Vijayakumaran SC, Shrivastava AM, Kulkarni AP.危重儿童癌症患儿死亡率风险IV和死亡率指数3的前瞻性观察比较。中华检验医学杂志;2015;29(6):486-491。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Comparative Performance of Pediatric Risk of Mortality IV and Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 in Critically Ill Children with Cancer: A Prospective Observational Study.

Comparative Performance of Pediatric Risk of Mortality IV and Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 in Critically Ill Children with Cancer: A Prospective Observational Study.

Comparative Performance of Pediatric Risk of Mortality IV and Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 in Critically Ill Children with Cancer: A Prospective Observational Study.

Comparative Performance of Pediatric Risk of Mortality IV and Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 in Critically Ill Children with Cancer: A Prospective Observational Study.

Background and aims: In pediatric critical care, pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) and pediatric index of mortality (PIM) scoring systems are the most widely used severity of illness scoring systems. The current versions of these scoring systems (PRISM IV and PIM 3) have not been validated in critically ill oncology patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the comparative performance of PRISM IV and PIM 3 in critically ill children with cancer.

Patients and methods: About 415 critically ill pediatric patients were recruited at a single-center, mixed medical-surgical ICU in a prospective observational study. Patients with an expected ICU stay of greater than 24 h were included. Demographic, physiological, and laboratory parameters required to calculate the PRISM IV and PIM 3 scores were collected; laboratory data from 2 hours prior to 4 hours after admission, and physiological data within 4 hours of admission were collected. The worst value was considered for calculating the scores. Both scores and their predicted mortality risk were calculated using online calculators.

Results: The mortality at ICU discharge and at hospital discharge was 32.7% and 36.1%, respectively. For the prediction of hospital mortality, the AUROC for PRISM IV score was 0.71and the PIM 3 estimated mortality (%) was 0.78, respectively. There was a statistically significant positive correlation between the PRISM IV score and PIM 3 estimated mortality (%) with the hospital mortality. The logistic model for PRISM IV score also passed the goodness-of-fit test indicating a good model fit. The goodness-of-fit test for the PIM 3 model suggests that the model may not fit the data well and may require further investigation or improvement.

Conclusions: Both PRISM IV and PIM 3 scores showed acceptable discriminative ability between survivors and non-survivors in the critically ill pediatric oncology population. However, only the PRISM IV score showed good calibration in the prediction of survival.

How to cite this article: Kalvit KR, Bhosale SJ, Pulinilkunnathi JG, Vijayakumaran SC, Shrivastava AM, Kulkarni AP. Comparative Performance of Pediatric Risk of Mortality IV and Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 in Critically Ill Children with Cancer: A Prospective Observational Study. Indian J Crit Care Med 2025;29(6):486-491.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
10.00%
发文量
299
期刊介绍: Indian Journal of Critical Care Medicine (ISSN 0972-5229) is specialty periodical published under the auspices of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine. Journal encourages research, education and dissemination of knowledge in the fields of critical and emergency medicine.
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