[1997年至2017年阿根廷冬季死亡率过高:基于公共卫生的方法和来自全球南方的认知争议]。

IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q3 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Cadernos de saude publica Pub Date : 2025-06-20 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI:10.1590/0102-311XES168524
Virna Almeida, Marcio Alazraqui
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球北方对冬季死亡率过高进行了研究,认为这是社会不平等和可避免死亡的表现。它具有不同于一般死亡率的复杂鉴定。本研究旨在突出1997年至2017年阿根廷冬季死亡率过高的情况。此外,它还描述了超额死亡率的幅度、趋势和分布,以便根据作为公共卫生知识对象的关键观点对其进行讨论。使用官方死亡率数据库对国家、区域和省一级的时间序列进行研究,综合了时空总量。总共在冬季发现了407,950例额外死亡,年平均为16,667例(20.4%;95%置信区间:18.6;22.2)。女性患病率较高(21.8%;95%置信区间:20.5;24.9%)高于男性(18.2%;95%置信区间:16.2;19.5)。其中,92.3%发生在60岁以上的老年妇女中,主要是80岁以上的妇女(63%)和60至79岁的男性(49.7%)。在5岁以下的儿童中也发现了过高的冬季死亡率,但在15至29岁的男性中没有发现。最低点出现在2010年(15%;95%置信区间:14.7;15.2%), 1999年达到峰值(30.5%;95%置信区间:30.2;30.9)。纬度解释了省份间75%的差异(调整后的R²= 0.75)。结论是,妇女、5岁以下儿童、60岁以上老年人以及中部和盖约地区的居民受影响最大。基于一个代理指标,这项工作显示了死亡率的不平等,这可能是不公平的,也是可以避免的,综合了个人和集体的脆弱性。其开创性的方面在于执行来自全球南方的关键方法,提供与公共卫生有关的知识。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
[Excess mortality in winter in Argentina from 1997 to 2017: an approach based on public health and an epistemic dispute from the Global South].

Excess mortality in winter is studied in the Global North as a manifestation of social inequalities and avoidable deaths. It has a complex identification that differs from general mortality. This study aims to highlight the occurrence of excess winter mortality in Argentina from 1997 to 2017. Also, it describes excess mortality magnitude, trend, and distribution in order to discuss it based on a critical perspective as an object of knowledge for public health. Official mortality databases were used for a study of time series at the national, regional and provincial levels, integrating spatial and temporal aggregates. In total, 407,950 excess deaths were identified in winter, with an annual average of 16,667 (20.4%; 95%CI: 18.6; 22.2). A higher prevalence was found in women (21.8%; 95%CI: 20.5; 24.9) than in men (18.2%; 95%CI: 16.2; 19.5). Of this total, 92.3% occurred in older women aged over 60 years, with a predominance of those older than 80 years (63%) and men aged from 60 to 79 years (49.7%). Excess winter mortality was also found in children aged under 5 years, but not in men aged 15 to 29 years. The nadir occurred in 2010 (15%; 95%CI: 14.7; 15.2) and the peak in 1999 (30.5%; 95%CI: 30.2; 30.9). Latitude explained 75% of the variability between provinces (adjusted R² = 0.75). It is concluded that women, children aged under 5 years, older people aged over 60 years and residents of the Central and Cuyo regions were the most affected. Based on a proxy indicator, this work shows inequalities in mortality that are probably unfair and avoidable, synthesizing individual and collective vulnerabilities. Its pioneering aspect lies in carrying out a critical approach from the Global South, providing knowledge relevant to Public Health.

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来源期刊
Cadernos de saude publica
Cadernos de saude publica 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
7.10%
发文量
356
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: Cadernos de Saúde Pública/Reports in Public Health (CSP) is a monthly journal published by the Sergio Arouca National School of Public Health, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (ENSP/FIOCRUZ). The journal is devoted to the publication of scientific articles focusing on the production of knowledge in Public Health. CSP also aims to foster critical reflection and debate on current themes related to public policies and factors that impact populations'' living conditions and health care. All articles submitted to CSP are judiciously evaluated by the Editorial Board, composed of the Editors-in-Chief and Associate Editors, respecting the diversity of approaches, objects, and methods of the different disciplines characterizing the field of Public Health. Originality, relevance, and methodological rigor are the principal characteristics considered in the editorial evaluation. The article evaluation system practiced by CSP consists of two stages.
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