2021年前后中东欧国家存款利率传递

IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS
Gábor Hajnal, Bálint Dancsik, Zsuzsanna Hosszú, Ákos Attila Ozoróczy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究分析了中欧和东欧(CEE)地区特定市场家庭和企业存款的利率传导,重点关注始于2021年年中的紧缩周期。这一时期是货币政策特别关注的时期,因为中央银行为应对高通胀环境而大幅加息,随后是一个以流动性充裕为特征的时期。本文采用小波变换和误差修正模型两种方法对银行同业利率和存款利率之间的关系进行了检验。基于小波分析,我们发现在中东欧地区各国的紧缩周期中,传导减弱,存款利率重新定价放缓,特别是在家庭部门。使用误差修正模型,我们观察到在紧缩周期中,匈牙利和波兰存款市场利率传递的程度和速度都持续减弱。在所有中东欧国家中,匈牙利家庭存款市场的转嫁程度下降得最多。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deposit interest rate pass-through in Central and Eastern European countries before and after 2021
The study analyzes interest rate pass-through for household and corporate deposits in specific markets in the Central and Eastern European (CEE) region, with a focus on the tightening cycle that began in mid-2021. This period is of particular interest to monetary policy, as sharp rate hikes by central banks, in response to a high inflationary environment, followed a period characterized by an abundance of liquidity. We examine the relationship between interbank and deposit interest rates using two methods: wavelet transform and error-correction model. Based on the wavelet analysis, we found a weakening of pass-through and a slowdown in the repricing of deposit interest rates during the tightening cycle across the countries of the CEE region, particularly in the household segment. Using error-correction models, we observe a consistent weakening in both the degree and speed of interest rate pass-through in the Hungarian and Polish deposit markets during the tightening cycle. The extent of pass-through declined most in the Hungarian household deposit market among all CEE countries.
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来源期刊
Central Bank Review
Central Bank Review ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
审稿时长
69 days
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