非洲国家电力部门加权平均资本成本的计算及其对具体国家电力技术成本的影响

IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS
Prudence Dato , Michael Dioha , Hélyoth Hessou , Boris Houenou , Brian Mukhaya , Michael Adu Okyere , Lily Odarno
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引用次数: 0

摘要

寻求转型经济增长和向低碳未来转型的非洲国家需要获得融资。由于感知风险和实际风险导致的高资本成本,使得这些国家难以吸引项目投资,尤其是资本密集型电力基础设施项目。加权平均资本成本(WACC)是股权和债务成本的组合,对于评估投资风险至关重要,特别是在电力行业。然而,非洲国家仍然难以获得关于非洲国家反腐败行动的关键信息。WACC信息的缺乏阻碍了非洲大陆的投资、战略规划、有效资源分配、竞争力和基础设施发展。本研究采用具体国家数据,包括GDP和人口预测、股票风险溢价、主权违约息差率、商业贷款利率和企业税率,预测了2023年至2070年间48个非洲国家和5个区域集团的股票和债务成本。我们发现,非洲国家电力部门的WACC值始终超过全球和其他区域基准。我们还发现地区价值存在显著差异。此外,我们的研究表明,平均而言,非洲的股权成本几乎是债务成本的两倍。要充分释放非洲国家的电力潜力,必须系统地解决固有风险,创造有利于吸引投资的环境。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Computation of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) in the power sector for African countries and the implications for country-specific electricity technology cost
African countries seeking transformative economic growth and a transition to a low carbon future need access to finance. The high cost of capital—attributed to perceived and real risks—has made it difficult for these countries to attract investment in projects, especially for capital-intensive electricity infrastructure. The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is a composite of the equity and debt costs that is vital for assessing risks in investments, especially in the electricity sector. However, it remains difficult to access crucial information about the WACC for African countries. This lack of information on WACC hinders investments, strategic planning, efficient resource allocation, competitiveness, and infrastructure development on the continent. This study projects the costs of equity and debt for 48 African countries and five regional groupings between 2023 and 2070 by employing country-specific data, including GDP and population projections, equity risk premiums, sovereign default spread rates, commercial lending rates, and corporate tax rates. We find that the WACC values for African countries in the electricity sector consistently exceed global and other regional benchmarks. We also find significant disparities in regional values. Additionally, our research reveals that, on average, the cost of equity in Africa is nearly double that of debt. To unlock the full electricity potential of African countries, it is imperative to systematically address inherent risks and create an environment conducive to attracting investments.
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来源期刊
Applied Energy
Applied Energy 工程技术-工程:化工
CiteScore
21.20
自引率
10.70%
发文量
1830
审稿时长
41 days
期刊介绍: Applied Energy serves as a platform for sharing innovations, research, development, and demonstrations in energy conversion, conservation, and sustainable energy systems. The journal covers topics such as optimal energy resource use, environmental pollutant mitigation, and energy process analysis. It welcomes original papers, review articles, technical notes, and letters to the editor. Authors are encouraged to submit manuscripts that bridge the gap between research, development, and implementation. The journal addresses a wide spectrum of topics, including fossil and renewable energy technologies, energy economics, and environmental impacts. Applied Energy also explores modeling and forecasting, conservation strategies, and the social and economic implications of energy policies, including climate change mitigation. It is complemented by the open-access journal Advances in Applied Energy.
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