Keya Roy, Lok Sang Chan, Xiaocai Zhang, Neema Nassir
{"title":"基于多任务深度学习的交通排放与出行延误联合预测","authors":"Keya Roy, Lok Sang Chan, Xiaocai Zhang, Neema Nassir","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2025.104846","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Signalised intersections play a crucial role in urban traffic management, ensuring the smooth movement of vehicles across road networks. However, urban intersections are often hotspots for congestion, increasing emissions, extending travel delay, and posing challenges for sustainable operations of traffic. The existing traffic management methods typically focus on either travel delay or emissions in isolation, neglecting their inherent interdependence; congestion simultaneously increases emissions and travel delay. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework termed multi-task temporal convolutional network (MT2CN) that jointly predicts traffic emissions and travel delay at signalised intersections. It is evident from our findings that the proposed MT2CN approach outperforms the conventional single-task models, indicating a significant finding for predictive modelling. By utilising advanced deep learning techniques and explainable artificial intelligence techniques, such as Shapley additive explanations (SHAP), our framework provides more accurate predictions and explainable insights to facilitate sustainable and intelligent traffic management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 104846"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Multi-task deep learning for joint prediction of traffic emissions and travel delay\",\"authors\":\"Keya Roy, Lok Sang Chan, Xiaocai Zhang, Neema Nassir\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.trd.2025.104846\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Signalised intersections play a crucial role in urban traffic management, ensuring the smooth movement of vehicles across road networks. However, urban intersections are often hotspots for congestion, increasing emissions, extending travel delay, and posing challenges for sustainable operations of traffic. The existing traffic management methods typically focus on either travel delay or emissions in isolation, neglecting their inherent interdependence; congestion simultaneously increases emissions and travel delay. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework termed multi-task temporal convolutional network (MT2CN) that jointly predicts traffic emissions and travel delay at signalised intersections. It is evident from our findings that the proposed MT2CN approach outperforms the conventional single-task models, indicating a significant finding for predictive modelling. By utilising advanced deep learning techniques and explainable artificial intelligence techniques, such as Shapley additive explanations (SHAP), our framework provides more accurate predictions and explainable insights to facilitate sustainable and intelligent traffic management.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":23277,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment\",\"volume\":\"146 \",\"pages\":\"Article 104846\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920925002561\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920925002561","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Multi-task deep learning for joint prediction of traffic emissions and travel delay
Signalised intersections play a crucial role in urban traffic management, ensuring the smooth movement of vehicles across road networks. However, urban intersections are often hotspots for congestion, increasing emissions, extending travel delay, and posing challenges for sustainable operations of traffic. The existing traffic management methods typically focus on either travel delay or emissions in isolation, neglecting their inherent interdependence; congestion simultaneously increases emissions and travel delay. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework termed multi-task temporal convolutional network (MT2CN) that jointly predicts traffic emissions and travel delay at signalised intersections. It is evident from our findings that the proposed MT2CN approach outperforms the conventional single-task models, indicating a significant finding for predictive modelling. By utilising advanced deep learning techniques and explainable artificial intelligence techniques, such as Shapley additive explanations (SHAP), our framework provides more accurate predictions and explainable insights to facilitate sustainable and intelligent traffic management.
期刊介绍:
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution.
We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.