比较SMART和ELECTRE方法的多准则决策分析:一个评估保护策略的案例研究

IF 5.6 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
David M. Martin , David R. Smith
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引用次数: 0

摘要

权衡是决策固有挑战的一部分。默认使用流行的方法可以掩盖方法的变化和决策质量的潜在改进。我们在现实环境规划中应用并比较了多准则决策分析(MCDA)方法。一个全球保护组织的决策者组成了小组,在七个小组的一组现有战略中审查和优先分配资源。每个小组根据由加权目标和标准组成的共同尺度对战略进行评估和评级。敏感性分析包括实施两种不同的MCDA方法、不同的策略评级和使用两种不同的标准加权技术。MCDA方法是SMART(简单多属性评定技术)和ELECTRE(消除和选择表达现实)。我们测试了不同方法之间的用户满意度,不同方法之间的总体排名,以及MCDA是否改善了决策过程。在大多数比较中,方法没有差异,尽管参与者更有可能在未来的权衡决策中使用SMART方法。我们发现了方法之间等级相关的证据。最后,小组的最终建议与MCDA的结果一致。本研究强调了MCDA在实际应用中的优点和缺点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comparing SMART and ELECTRE methods for multi-criteria decision analysis: A case study evaluating conservation strategies
Tradeoffs are part of the inherent challenge of making decisions. Defaulting to a prevalent method can mask methodological variation and potential improvement in decision quality. We applied and compared methods for multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) in real-world environmental planning. Decision makers at a global conservation organization formed teams to review and prioritize the allocation of resources across a set of existing strategies across seven teams. Each team evaluated and rated strategies based on a common scale composed of weighted objectives and criteria. Sensitivity analysis included implementing two different MCDA methods, varying strategy ratings, and using two different criteria weighting techniques. The MCDA methods were SMART (Simple Multi-Attribute Rating Technique) and ELECTRE (ELimination and Choice Expressing The REality). We tested user satisfaction between methods, overall rankings between methods, and whether MCDA improved the decision-making process. The methods did not differ in most comparisons, although participants were more likely to use the SMART method in future tradeoff decisions. We found evidence of rank correlation between methods. Lastly, the teams’ final recommendations were consistent with MCDA results. This study highlights the advantages and disadvantages of MCDA in real-world applications.
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来源期刊
Environmental and Sustainability Indicators
Environmental and Sustainability Indicators Environmental Science-Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
7.80
自引率
2.30%
发文量
49
审稿时长
57 days
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