{"title":"论物种的生命:分类群循环的数学模型","authors":"João P.G. Machado , Vinícius P. de Oliveira","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2025.111233","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The taxon cycle hypothesis provided a conceptual framework for the cyclical stages of geographic range expansion, habitat specialization, and eventual range contraction leading to species extinction. Despite its historical significance, the taxon cycle has remained a conceptual model due to the absence of a quantitative framework. This study bridges this gap by developing a comprehensive mathematical model that integrates population structure, adaptation, speciation, and biogeographical range mechanisms. This model is designed to offer an easy-to-use, consilient framework to be applied across taxa and biogeographical scales as a null model for general taxon dynamics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51043,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Modelling","volume":"508 ","pages":"Article 111233"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"On the life of species: Mathematically modelling the taxon cycle\",\"authors\":\"João P.G. Machado , Vinícius P. de Oliveira\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2025.111233\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>The taxon cycle hypothesis provided a conceptual framework for the cyclical stages of geographic range expansion, habitat specialization, and eventual range contraction leading to species extinction. Despite its historical significance, the taxon cycle has remained a conceptual model due to the absence of a quantitative framework. This study bridges this gap by developing a comprehensive mathematical model that integrates population structure, adaptation, speciation, and biogeographical range mechanisms. This model is designed to offer an easy-to-use, consilient framework to be applied across taxa and biogeographical scales as a null model for general taxon dynamics.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":51043,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Ecological Modelling\",\"volume\":\"508 \",\"pages\":\"Article 111233\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Ecological Modelling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380025002194\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Ecological Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380025002194","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
On the life of species: Mathematically modelling the taxon cycle
The taxon cycle hypothesis provided a conceptual framework for the cyclical stages of geographic range expansion, habitat specialization, and eventual range contraction leading to species extinction. Despite its historical significance, the taxon cycle has remained a conceptual model due to the absence of a quantitative framework. This study bridges this gap by developing a comprehensive mathematical model that integrates population structure, adaptation, speciation, and biogeographical range mechanisms. This model is designed to offer an easy-to-use, consilient framework to be applied across taxa and biogeographical scales as a null model for general taxon dynamics.
期刊介绍:
The journal is concerned with the use of mathematical models and systems analysis for the description of ecological processes and for the sustainable management of resources. Human activity and well-being are dependent on and integrated with the functioning of ecosystems and the services they provide. We aim to understand these basic ecosystem functions using mathematical and conceptual modelling, systems analysis, thermodynamics, computer simulations, and ecological theory. This leads to a preference for process-based models embedded in theory with explicit causative agents as opposed to strictly statistical or correlative descriptions. These modelling methods can be applied to a wide spectrum of issues ranging from basic ecology to human ecology to socio-ecological systems. The journal welcomes research articles, short communications, review articles, letters to the editor, book reviews, and other communications. The journal also supports the activities of the [International Society of Ecological Modelling (ISEM)](http://www.isemna.org/).