El Niño和La Niña事件的极端气候和社会经济影响

IF 4.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Mir Muhammad Nizamani , Alice C. Hughes , Yichao Wang , Hai-Li Zhang , Zhongping Lai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

El Niño和La Niña是影响全球天气模式和社会经济状况的关键气候现象。本文全面分析了它们的机制、特征及其对环境和经济的重大影响。厄尔尼诺Niño事件的特点是太平洋中部和东部海面温度升高,破坏了典型的大气环流,导致北美冬季变暖,澳大利亚干旱。相反,海面温度较低的La Niña加强了大西洋的飓风活动,并在美国北部引起了更潮湿的条件。这些现象每两到七年不规则地发生一次,对农业、水资源和灾害管理有着深远的影响。本综述全面分析了气候变化的机制、特征和重大的环境和经济影响,指出了在整合实时数据和缓解气候变化影响的本地化战略方面存在的差距,并强调了对先进预测模型和有效适应措施的需求。通过审查全球和区域气候影响、对生态系统和海洋生物的环境后果以及对农业、粮食安全和健康的社会经济影响,该审查强调了跨学科研究和国际合作在加强对这些极端气候的抵御能力方面的重要性。对未来研究的建议应侧重于提高预测的准确性,解决事件持续时间和强度的不对称性,以及了解气候变化情景下的区域影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate extremes and socioeconomic impact of El Niño and La Niña events
El Niño and La Niña are critical climate phenomena influencing global weather patterns and socioeconomic conditions. This review provides a comprehensive analysis of their mechanisms, characteristics, and significant environmental and economic impacts. El Niño events, characterized by increased sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, disrupt typical atmospheric circulation, leading to warmer winters in North America and droughts in Australia. Conversely, La Niña, with cooler sea surface temperatures, enhances hurricane activity in the Atlantic and induces wetter conditions in the northern United States. These phenomena, occurring irregularly every two to seven years, have profound implications for agriculture, water resources, and disaster management. This review provides a comprehensive analysis of their mechanisms, characteristics, and significant environmental and economic impacts, identifies gaps in integrating real-time data and localized strategies for mitigating their impacts and highlighting the need for advanced predictive models and effective adaptation measures. By examining global and regional climate impacts, environmental consequences on ecosystems and marine life, and socioeconomic impacts on agriculture, food security, and health, the review underscores the importance of interdisciplinary research and international cooperation in enhancing resilience to these climate extremes. Recommendations for future research should focus on improving accuracy of predictions, addressing asymmetries in event duration and intensity, and understanding regional impacts under climate change scenarios.
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来源期刊
Environmental Development
Environmental Development Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
1.90%
发文量
62
审稿时长
74 days
期刊介绍: Environmental Development provides a future oriented, pro-active, authoritative source of information and learning for researchers, postgraduate students, policymakers, and managers, and bridges the gap between fundamental research and the application in management and policy practices. It stimulates the exchange and coupling of traditional scientific knowledge on the environment, with the experiential knowledge among decision makers and other stakeholders and also connects natural sciences and social and behavioral sciences. Environmental Development includes and promotes scientific work from the non-western world, and also strengthens the collaboration between the developed and developing world. Further it links environmental research to broader issues of economic and social-cultural developments, and is intended to shorten the delays between research and publication, while ensuring thorough peer review. Environmental Development also creates a forum for transnational communication, discussion and global action. Environmental Development is open to a broad range of disciplines and authors. The journal welcomes, in particular, contributions from a younger generation of researchers, and papers expanding the frontiers of environmental sciences, pointing at new directions and innovative answers. All submissions to Environmental Development are reviewed using the general criteria of quality, originality, precision, importance of topic and insights, clarity of exposition, which are in keeping with the journal''s aims and scope.
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