{"title":"平流层气溶胶干预情景下平流层极涡的形态","authors":"Khalil Karami, Christoph Jacobi, Anish Kumar","doi":"10.1002/joc.8838","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Even though it is widely acknowledged that the stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) strengthens under stratospheric aerosol intervention (SAI), little is known about how the SPV's size, duration, location, and edge change under SAI compared to the present-day climate. Here, we address these issues using two large ensemble SAI simulations, namely GLENS (2060–2079) with extreme forcing and ARISE (2050–2069) with more moderate forcing. It is found that the wintertime Arctic and Antarctic stratospheric wind responses to SAI compared to the control (CTL) climate in GLENS (2060–2079) are roughly two times as large as in ARISE (2050–2069). While the zonal wind acceleration in ARISE (2050–2069) is hemispherically symmetric at 3–4 m s<sup>−1</sup> in the stratosphere of both hemispheres, the responses in GLENS (2060–2079) are hemispherically asymmetric, being two to three times larger in the Southern Hemisphere (SH, ~15 m s<sup>−1</sup>) compared to the Northern Hemisphere (NH). While the edge of the vortex in GLENS (2060–2079) intensifies under SAI, similar changes are not found in ARISE (2050–2069). Such intensification of the vortex edge in GLENS is limited to lower stratosphere levels and does not extend to greater heights (~10 hPa). SAI has no discernible effect on the NH vortex morphology in ARISE simulations. However, the edge of the vortex intensifies in terms of Ertel's potential vorticity (EPV) gradient under SAI in the NH in GLENS. The greatest change that the SPV consistently shows under SAI in both GLENS and ARISE simulations is the SH spring vortex's behaviour. Under SAI, at 530 and 600 K, the vortex edge is weaker, its area is smaller, and it breaks up earlier than in the CTL runs.</p>","PeriodicalId":13779,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Climatology","volume":"45 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/joc.8838","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Morphology of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex Under Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention Scenarios\",\"authors\":\"Khalil Karami, Christoph Jacobi, Anish Kumar\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/joc.8838\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Even though it is widely acknowledged that the stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) strengthens under stratospheric aerosol intervention (SAI), little is known about how the SPV's size, duration, location, and edge change under SAI compared to the present-day climate. Here, we address these issues using two large ensemble SAI simulations, namely GLENS (2060–2079) with extreme forcing and ARISE (2050–2069) with more moderate forcing. It is found that the wintertime Arctic and Antarctic stratospheric wind responses to SAI compared to the control (CTL) climate in GLENS (2060–2079) are roughly two times as large as in ARISE (2050–2069). While the zonal wind acceleration in ARISE (2050–2069) is hemispherically symmetric at 3–4 m s<sup>−1</sup> in the stratosphere of both hemispheres, the responses in GLENS (2060–2079) are hemispherically asymmetric, being two to three times larger in the Southern Hemisphere (SH, ~15 m s<sup>−1</sup>) compared to the Northern Hemisphere (NH). While the edge of the vortex in GLENS (2060–2079) intensifies under SAI, similar changes are not found in ARISE (2050–2069). Such intensification of the vortex edge in GLENS is limited to lower stratosphere levels and does not extend to greater heights (~10 hPa). 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引用次数: 0
摘要
虽然人们普遍认为平流层极涡(SPV)在平流层气溶胶干预(SAI)下增强,但对平流层气溶胶干预下SPV的大小、持续时间、位置和边缘与当前气候的变化情况知之甚少。在这里,我们使用两个大型集合SAI模拟来解决这些问题,即具有极端强迫的GLENS(2060-2079)和具有更中等强迫的ARISE(2050-2069)。与对照气候(CTL)相比,GLENS(2060-2079)冬季北极和南极平流层风对SAI的响应大约是ARISE(2050-2069)的2倍。在rise(2050-2069)中,纬向风加速度在两个半球平流层的3-4 m s−1是半对称的,而在GLENS(2060-2079)中,响应是半非对称的,南半球(SH, ~15 m s−1)比北半球(NH)大2 - 3倍。在SAI作用下,GLENS(2060-2079)涡旋边缘增强,而在ARISE(2050-2069)没有发现类似的变化。GLENS涡旋边缘的这种增强仅限于平流层低层,而不会扩展到更高的高度(~10 hPa)。在ARISE模拟中,SAI对NH涡形态没有明显的影响。然而,在GLENS的NH SAI下,Ertel位涡度(EPV)梯度增强了涡旋边缘。在GLENS和ARISE模拟中,在SAI条件下SPV一致表现出的最大变化是SH弹簧涡的行为。在SAI下,在530和600 K时,涡旋边缘较弱,面积较小,破裂时间较CTL早。
The Morphology of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex Under Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention Scenarios
Even though it is widely acknowledged that the stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) strengthens under stratospheric aerosol intervention (SAI), little is known about how the SPV's size, duration, location, and edge change under SAI compared to the present-day climate. Here, we address these issues using two large ensemble SAI simulations, namely GLENS (2060–2079) with extreme forcing and ARISE (2050–2069) with more moderate forcing. It is found that the wintertime Arctic and Antarctic stratospheric wind responses to SAI compared to the control (CTL) climate in GLENS (2060–2079) are roughly two times as large as in ARISE (2050–2069). While the zonal wind acceleration in ARISE (2050–2069) is hemispherically symmetric at 3–4 m s−1 in the stratosphere of both hemispheres, the responses in GLENS (2060–2079) are hemispherically asymmetric, being two to three times larger in the Southern Hemisphere (SH, ~15 m s−1) compared to the Northern Hemisphere (NH). While the edge of the vortex in GLENS (2060–2079) intensifies under SAI, similar changes are not found in ARISE (2050–2069). Such intensification of the vortex edge in GLENS is limited to lower stratosphere levels and does not extend to greater heights (~10 hPa). SAI has no discernible effect on the NH vortex morphology in ARISE simulations. However, the edge of the vortex intensifies in terms of Ertel's potential vorticity (EPV) gradient under SAI in the NH in GLENS. The greatest change that the SPV consistently shows under SAI in both GLENS and ARISE simulations is the SH spring vortex's behaviour. Under SAI, at 530 and 600 K, the vortex edge is weaker, its area is smaller, and it breaks up earlier than in the CTL runs.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Climatology aims to span the well established but rapidly growing field of climatology, through the publication of research papers, short communications, major reviews of progress and reviews of new books and reports in the area of climate science. The Journal’s main role is to stimulate and report research in climatology, from the expansive fields of the atmospheric, biophysical, engineering and social sciences. Coverage includes: Climate system science; Local to global scale climate observations and modelling; Seasonal to interannual climate prediction; Climatic variability and climate change; Synoptic, dynamic and urban climatology, hydroclimatology, human bioclimatology, ecoclimatology, dendroclimatology, palaeoclimatology, marine climatology and atmosphere-ocean interactions; Application of climatological knowledge to environmental assessment and management and economic production; Climate and society interactions