2024年夏季华北平原极端旱涝事件的交替

IF 3.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Ting Ding, Tiejun Xie, Hui Gao, Shaoyu Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2024年夏季,华北平原发生旱涝复合极端事件,4 ~ 6月持续干旱,7月发生特大洪水。6月平原极端干旱天数为近半个世纪以来第四高,降水量为近半个世纪以来最高。基于逐日降水观测和综合干旱气象资料,初步提出了平原旱涝突变(DFAA)事件的定义方法,并进行了季内演变分析。交替点在七月初达到。随后,由于7月4日至9日连续6天出现破纪录的强降雨,严重的洪水迅速取代了干旱。2024年的DFAA与季风雨带和环流密切相关,特别是与西太平洋副热带高压(WPSH)有关。在六月,副高的位置较平常偏南,维持了华南地区的雨带。7月初,副高突然北移约5个纬度,使水汽从华南平原南缘输送到华北平原。同时,中纬度横槽形成强低涡,阻碍水汽向平原以北地区输送,使平原低层水汽持续辐合,促使形成持续强降水和强洪水。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Alternation Between the Extreme Drought-Flood Event in the North China Plain in Summer 2024

Alternation Between the Extreme Drought-Flood Event in the North China Plain in Summer 2024

In the summer of 2024, the North China Plain was subjected to a compound drought-flood extreme event, characterised by a prolonged and intense drought from April to June, followed by a severe flood in July. The extreme drought days in the plain are the fourth highest in June, while the precipitation is the highest in the recent half century. Based on daily observations of precipitation and combined meteorological drought data, we initially proposed a suitable approach to define the drought-flood abrupt alternation (DFAA) events in the plain and conducted an intra-seasonal evolution analysis. The alternation point is reached in early July. Subsequently, the severe flood rapidly replaced the drought due to the occurrence of record-breaking intense rainfall on six consecutive days from 4 to 9 July. The DFAA in 2024 is closely associated with the monsoon rain belt and circulations, particularly the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). In June, the WPSH was situated considerably further south than usual, thus maintaining the rain belt in southern China. In early July, the WPSH exhibits a sudden northward shift of approximately five latitudes, which enables the transportation of water vapour to the North China Plain from the south boundary of the plain. Concurrently, the transverse trough in the middle latitudes causes a strong low vortex and precludes the transportation of moisture to the regions north of the plain, thereby engendering persistent lower-level moisture convergence in the plain and prompting the formation of persistent intense rainfall and severe flooding.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Climatology
International Journal of Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
7.70%
发文量
417
审稿时长
4 months
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Climatology aims to span the well established but rapidly growing field of climatology, through the publication of research papers, short communications, major reviews of progress and reviews of new books and reports in the area of climate science. The Journal’s main role is to stimulate and report research in climatology, from the expansive fields of the atmospheric, biophysical, engineering and social sciences. Coverage includes: Climate system science; Local to global scale climate observations and modelling; Seasonal to interannual climate prediction; Climatic variability and climate change; Synoptic, dynamic and urban climatology, hydroclimatology, human bioclimatology, ecoclimatology, dendroclimatology, palaeoclimatology, marine climatology and atmosphere-ocean interactions; Application of climatological knowledge to environmental assessment and management and economic production; Climate and society interactions
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