CCUS技术还是可再生能源为印度实现净零碳排放目标？模糊层次分析法

IF 4.7 3区工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS

Energy Reports Pub Date : 2025-06-19 DOI:10.1016/j.egyr.2025.06.015

Akanksha Singh , Shweta Kumari , Shiv Lal , Magdalena Radulescu

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引用次数: 0

摘要

印度能源系统的发展轨迹是技术和政策的结合，并延伸到可靠、负担得起和可获得的能源。在印度和全球，超过60% %的电力是由煤炭产生的。主要的空气污染是由火力发电厂造成的，国家需要在火力发电厂部署碳捕获、利用和储存（CCUS）技术，以帮助经济脱碳。在当今时代，CCUS是发电厂和工业的前沿技术。该论文正在验证CCUS技术的使用是印度在目前情况下的更好选择。采用模糊层次分析法（FAHP）对CCUS和可再生能源的潜力进行了比较。印度CCUS的估值为0.981，可再生能源（REW）的估值为0.609。目前的研究表明，与减少二氧化碳所需的时间相比，CCUS比（可再生能源）REW具有优势，目前的能源结构有利于CCUS，而REW比CCUS具有成本优势。“一切照旧”（BAU）估算也预测了到2050年的未来能源需求和二氧化碳减排量。

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CCUS technology or renewable energy for India’s net zero carbon emission mission? Fuzzy analytical hierarchy process

The trajectory of India’s energy system is a combination of technology and policy mix which extends to reliable, affordable and attainable energy sources. More than 60 % of electrical power is generated by coal in India as well as globally. The major air pollution take place due to the thermal power plants and the country needs to deploy carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technology in thermal power plants that can help to decarbonize the economy. In present era, the CCUS is a cutting-edge technology for the power plants and Industries. The paper is validating the use of CCUS technology as a better option for India in the present scenario. The Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) multi-criteria method is used to compare the potential of CCUS and renewable energy. The value of CCUS is evaluated by 0.981 and the value of Renewables (REW) is 0.609 in India. Presently the study suggests that CCUS has an advantage over (Renewables) REW in comparison to time taken for CO₂ reduction and present energy mix is in favorable for CCUS whereas REW has a cost advantage over CCUS. The Business As Usual (BAU) estimation is also forecasted the future energy demand and CO₂ reduction till 2050.

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来源期刊

Energy Reports Energy-General Energy

CiteScore

8.20

自引率

13.50%

发文量

2608

审稿时长

38 days

期刊介绍： Energy Reports is a new online multidisciplinary open access journal which focuses on publishing new research in the area of Energy with a rapid review and publication time. Energy Reports will be open to direct submissions and also to submissions from other Elsevier Energy journals, whose Editors have determined that Energy Reports would be a better fit.