Char社区的洪水风险:孟加拉国的循证研究

IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Md Mostafizur Rahman, Mst. Nusrat Jahan Suchi, Abir Mohd Shakib Shahide, Md. Tanvir Hossain, Edris Alam, Md Kamrul Islam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究评估了孟加拉国贾马尔布尔德旺甘杰(Dewanganj)洪灾易发Char地区家庭的洪水风险,重点关注社会人口因素、脆弱性、洪水暴露和能力。利用400户家庭的调查数据,我们发现男性户主家庭占主导地位,对雇佣劳动力的高度依赖,以及普遍存在的不合格住房,这些都导致了洪水风险。调查结果显示,洪水频率和房屋被淹没的情况有所增加;几乎所有的受访者(99.75%)都确认洪水条件正在恶化,这表明了长期的气候趋势,而不是孤立的事件。受教育程度低(60.75%的人没有接受过正规教育)、贫困率高(98.75%的人低于国民收入平均水平)以及获得耐用住房和防洪培训等关键资源的机会有限,进一步加剧了脆弱性。回归分析表明,洪水风险与年龄、收入来源和住房类型等因素显著相关(女性户主家庭:p <; 0.001, β = 0.06;36-45岁和46-55岁年龄组:p <; 0.001, β = 0.07, β = 0.11)。该研究强调了有针对性的干预措施的必要性,其中最关键的建议是提高住房抵御能力,特别是针对弱势群体,如女性户主家庭和临时住房群体。加强洪水预报、抗灾基础设施和社区培训项目对于降低洪水风险和提高适应能力也至关重要。我们的研究结果为政策制定者和非政府组织制定量身定制的抗洪策略提供了可行的见解,为孟加拉国各地的洪水易发社区提供了一个基础模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Flood Risk in Char Community: An Evidence-Based Study in Bangladesh

This study evaluates the flood risk of households in the flood-prone Char areas of Dewanganj, Jamalpur, Bangladesh, focusing on sociodemographic factors, vulnerability, flood exposure, and capacity. Using survey data from 400 households, we found a predominance of male-headed households, a high reliance on wage labor, and widespread substandard housing, all contributing to flood risk. The findings reveal a rise in flood frequency and home inundation; nearly all respondents (99.75%) confirm worsening flood conditions, indicating a long-term climate trend rather than isolated events. Vulnerabilities are further heightened by low education levels (60.75% with no formal education), high poverty rates (98.75% below the national income average), and limited access to critical resources like durable housing and flood preparedness training. Regression analyses indicate significant associations between flood risk and factors like age, income source, and housing type (female-headed households: p < 0.001, β = 0.06; age groups 36–45 and 46–55: p < 0.001, β = 0.07, and β = 0.11, respectively). The study highlights the need for targeted interventions, with the most critical recommendation being the improvement of housing resilience, especially for vulnerable groups such as female-headed households and those in temporary structures. Enhanced flood forecasting, resilient infrastructure, and community-based training programs are also essential for reducing flood risk and increasing adaptive capacity. Our findings provide actionable insights for policymakers and NGOs to develop tailored flood resilience strategies, offering a foundational model for flood-prone communities across Bangladesh.

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来源期刊
Journal of Flood Risk Management
Journal of Flood Risk Management ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-WATER RESOURCES
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
7.30%
发文量
93
审稿时长
12 months
期刊介绍: Journal of Flood Risk Management provides an international platform for knowledge sharing in all areas related to flood risk. Its explicit aim is to disseminate ideas across the range of disciplines where flood related research is carried out and it provides content ranging from leading edge academic papers to applied content with the practitioner in mind. Readers and authors come from a wide background and include hydrologists, meteorologists, geographers, geomorphologists, conservationists, civil engineers, social scientists, policy makers, insurers and practitioners. They share an interest in managing the complex interactions between the many skills and disciplines that underpin the management of flood risk across the world.
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