从投入到产出:中国风电效率与装机耦合协调的时空格局及驱动因素分析

IF 10.1 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS
Pihui Liu , Mengdi Li , Chuanfeng Han , Lingpeng Meng , Zhiguo Shao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风电作为一种清洁、可再生的能源利用方式,在全球能源体系中的地位日益凸显。了解其生产投入与发电效率之间的关系对于优化产业布局至关重要。然而,现有的研究往往难以解决这两个方面的时空不匹配及其影响因素。本研究采用SBM - DDF模型对2015 - 2023年中国31个省份的风力发电效率进行了评估。标准偏差椭圆模型分析了风电发电效率和装机容量的时空演变,改进的耦合协调度(CCD)模型评价了两者的相互关系。此外,建立了时空地理加权回归模型,探讨了CCD的影响因素。结果表明,2015 - 2023年,中国各省风电发电效率平稳稳定,但区域差异扩大。西部和东部省份效率高于中部省份,风电装机容量集中在东南-东北方向,东部增长显著。总体来看,2022年风电发电效率与装机容量的协同效应增强,特别是西北、华北和东部地区,中部地区协同效应明显增强,形成“中心-外围”辐射格局。最初,二、三产业增加值、科技支出、政府干预等因素对CCD有负向影响,金融变量和社会用电量对CCD有正向影响。到2023年,政府干预的影响转为正面,而金融机构的影响转为负面。从区域上看,西部地区受这些因素的影响比东部地区更为显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
From input to output: Unraveling the Spatio - temporal pattern and driving factors of the coupling coordination between wind power efficiency and installed capacity in China
As a clean and renewable energy utilization mode, wind power's status in the global energy system is increasingly prominent. Understanding the relationship between its production inputs and generation efficiency is crucial for optimizing the industrial layout. However, existing research often struggles to address the spatio-temporal mismatch and influencing factors of these two aspects. This research uses the SBM - DDF model to assess the wind power generation efficiency across 31 Chinese provinces from 2015 to 2023. The standard deviation ellipse model analyzes the spatio - temporal evolution of wind power generation efficiency and installed capacity, while an improved coupling coordination degree (CCD) model evaluates their interrelationship. Additionally, a spatio-temporal geographically weighted regression model investigates the factors influencing the CCD. The results show that between 2015 and 2023, China's provincial wind power generation efficiency steadily steadily, though regional differences widened. Western and eastern provinces exhibited higher efficiency than central provinces, while wind power installed capacity was concentrated in the southeast-northeast direction, with significant growth in the east. Overall, the CCD between wind power generation efficiency and installed capacity strengthened, particularly in northwest, north China, and eastern regions, with the central region's coordination improving significantly in 2022, forming a “center-periphery” radiation pattern. Initially, factors such as the added value of secondary and tertiary industries, scientific and technological expenditures, and government intervention negatively impacted the CCD, while financial variables and social electricity consumption had a positive effect. By 2023, the impact of government intervention turned positive, while the influence of financial institutions became negative. Regionally, the western region was more significantly affected by these factors than the eastern region.
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来源期刊
Applied Energy
Applied Energy 工程技术-工程:化工
CiteScore
21.20
自引率
10.70%
发文量
1830
审稿时长
41 days
期刊介绍: Applied Energy serves as a platform for sharing innovations, research, development, and demonstrations in energy conversion, conservation, and sustainable energy systems. The journal covers topics such as optimal energy resource use, environmental pollutant mitigation, and energy process analysis. It welcomes original papers, review articles, technical notes, and letters to the editor. Authors are encouraged to submit manuscripts that bridge the gap between research, development, and implementation. The journal addresses a wide spectrum of topics, including fossil and renewable energy technologies, energy economics, and environmental impacts. Applied Energy also explores modeling and forecasting, conservation strategies, and the social and economic implications of energy policies, including climate change mitigation. It is complemented by the open-access journal Advances in Applied Energy.
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