Junjie Chen , Hao Zeng , Zhanglei Pan , Miao Li , Qingfeng Zhou , Kaichen Chen , Yulan Hao , Xiangke Cao , Lei Zhang , Qian Wang
{"title":"基于BKMR和机器学习方法的尿中金属混合物与异常血压的关联及氧化应激的介导作用","authors":"Junjie Chen , Hao Zeng , Zhanglei Pan , Miao Li , Qingfeng Zhou , Kaichen Chen , Yulan Hao , Xiangke Cao , Lei Zhang , Qian Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ecoenv.2025.118478","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Exposure to heavy metals represents a significant risk factor for hypertension and blood pressure disorders. Notably, current evidence indicates that the key biological processes of oxidative stress, inflammation, and endothelial dysfunction are related to metal exposure and blood pressure dysregulation, ultimately contributing to cardiovascular pathogenesis. However, their underlying biological mechanisms remain incompletely characterized.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A longitudinal study was performed among 45 healthy university students in Caofeidian, China. These participants were followed up in 4 seasons for physical examination and blood and urine samples collection between December 2017 and October 2018. we employed linear mixed effect model (LME), Bayesian kernel-machine regression (BKMR) and Machine learning (ML) to evaluate complex exposure-response relationships between multi-metal mixtures and blood pressure outcomes. Finally, we constructed the mediation analyses to analyze the potential intermediary roles of indicators in these association.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The analysis revealed significant associations between Cr, Mn, and Mo and elevated levels of 8-iso-prostaglandin-F2α (8-iso-PGF2α) and blood pressure (all <em>P</em> < 0.05), respectively. BKMR and ML further demonstrated both cumulative effects and interaction patterns within the metal mixture that collectively influenced blood pressure. Additionally, 8-iso-PGF2α is significantly positively correlated with SBP and was subsequently identified as a candidate mediator. Eventually, we found that the metals of Mn, Cr, and Mo were associated with SBP mediated by 8-iso-PGF2α with 24.6 %, 17.4 %, and 20.7 %, respectively.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>These findings establish a mechanistic link between metal exposure and blood pressure dysregulation in young adults. Notably, the application of machine learning demonstrates novel utility in quantifying mixed metals on blood pressure and predicting the development of cardiovascular injury, providing a novel insight into environmental risk assessment methodologies</div></div>","PeriodicalId":303,"journal":{"name":"Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety","volume":"301 ","pages":"Article 118478"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Association between metal mixture in urine and abnormal blood pressure and mediated effect of oxidative stress based on BKMR and Machine learning method\",\"authors\":\"Junjie Chen , Hao Zeng , Zhanglei Pan , Miao Li , Qingfeng Zhou , Kaichen Chen , Yulan Hao , Xiangke Cao , Lei Zhang , Qian Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ecoenv.2025.118478\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Exposure to heavy metals represents a significant risk factor for hypertension and blood pressure disorders. Notably, current evidence indicates that the key biological processes of oxidative stress, inflammation, and endothelial dysfunction are related to metal exposure and blood pressure dysregulation, ultimately contributing to cardiovascular pathogenesis. However, their underlying biological mechanisms remain incompletely characterized.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A longitudinal study was performed among 45 healthy university students in Caofeidian, China. These participants were followed up in 4 seasons for physical examination and blood and urine samples collection between December 2017 and October 2018. we employed linear mixed effect model (LME), Bayesian kernel-machine regression (BKMR) and Machine learning (ML) to evaluate complex exposure-response relationships between multi-metal mixtures and blood pressure outcomes. Finally, we constructed the mediation analyses to analyze the potential intermediary roles of indicators in these association.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The analysis revealed significant associations between Cr, Mn, and Mo and elevated levels of 8-iso-prostaglandin-F2α (8-iso-PGF2α) and blood pressure (all <em>P</em> < 0.05), respectively. BKMR and ML further demonstrated both cumulative effects and interaction patterns within the metal mixture that collectively influenced blood pressure. Additionally, 8-iso-PGF2α is significantly positively correlated with SBP and was subsequently identified as a candidate mediator. Eventually, we found that the metals of Mn, Cr, and Mo were associated with SBP mediated by 8-iso-PGF2α with 24.6 %, 17.4 %, and 20.7 %, respectively.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>These findings establish a mechanistic link between metal exposure and blood pressure dysregulation in young adults. Notably, the application of machine learning demonstrates novel utility in quantifying mixed metals on blood pressure and predicting the development of cardiovascular injury, providing a novel insight into environmental risk assessment methodologies</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":303,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety\",\"volume\":\"301 \",\"pages\":\"Article 118478\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0147651325008188\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0147651325008188","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Association between metal mixture in urine and abnormal blood pressure and mediated effect of oxidative stress based on BKMR and Machine learning method
Background
Exposure to heavy metals represents a significant risk factor for hypertension and blood pressure disorders. Notably, current evidence indicates that the key biological processes of oxidative stress, inflammation, and endothelial dysfunction are related to metal exposure and blood pressure dysregulation, ultimately contributing to cardiovascular pathogenesis. However, their underlying biological mechanisms remain incompletely characterized.
Methods
A longitudinal study was performed among 45 healthy university students in Caofeidian, China. These participants were followed up in 4 seasons for physical examination and blood and urine samples collection between December 2017 and October 2018. we employed linear mixed effect model (LME), Bayesian kernel-machine regression (BKMR) and Machine learning (ML) to evaluate complex exposure-response relationships between multi-metal mixtures and blood pressure outcomes. Finally, we constructed the mediation analyses to analyze the potential intermediary roles of indicators in these association.
Results
The analysis revealed significant associations between Cr, Mn, and Mo and elevated levels of 8-iso-prostaglandin-F2α (8-iso-PGF2α) and blood pressure (all P < 0.05), respectively. BKMR and ML further demonstrated both cumulative effects and interaction patterns within the metal mixture that collectively influenced blood pressure. Additionally, 8-iso-PGF2α is significantly positively correlated with SBP and was subsequently identified as a candidate mediator. Eventually, we found that the metals of Mn, Cr, and Mo were associated with SBP mediated by 8-iso-PGF2α with 24.6 %, 17.4 %, and 20.7 %, respectively.
Conclusions
These findings establish a mechanistic link between metal exposure and blood pressure dysregulation in young adults. Notably, the application of machine learning demonstrates novel utility in quantifying mixed metals on blood pressure and predicting the development of cardiovascular injury, providing a novel insight into environmental risk assessment methodologies
期刊介绍:
Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety is a multi-disciplinary journal that focuses on understanding the exposure and effects of environmental contamination on organisms including human health. The scope of the journal covers three main themes. The topics within these themes, indicated below, include (but are not limited to) the following: Ecotoxicology、Environmental Chemistry、Environmental Safety etc.