{"title":"消费者情绪在货币政策传导到消费者支出中的作用","authors":"Viet Hoang Dinh","doi":"10.1111/ecca.12576","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper shows that changes in consumer sentiment play a quantitatively important role in the transmission of monetary policy on economic activity. Specifically, the paper's empirical estimates indicate that changes in short-term consumer sentiment may very well double the negative responses of consumer expenditure to contractionary monetary policy shocks. In contrast, long-term consumer sentiment plays only a minimal role in the propagation of monetary policy shocks into consumer expenditure.</p>","PeriodicalId":48040,"journal":{"name":"Economica","volume":"92 367","pages":"823-847"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecca.12576","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The role of consumer sentiment in the transmission of monetary policy to consumer expenditure\",\"authors\":\"Viet Hoang Dinh\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/ecca.12576\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>This paper shows that changes in consumer sentiment play a quantitatively important role in the transmission of monetary policy on economic activity. Specifically, the paper's empirical estimates indicate that changes in short-term consumer sentiment may very well double the negative responses of consumer expenditure to contractionary monetary policy shocks. In contrast, long-term consumer sentiment plays only a minimal role in the propagation of monetary policy shocks into consumer expenditure.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48040,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economica\",\"volume\":\"92 367\",\"pages\":\"823-847\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-03-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecca.12576\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economica\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ecca.12576\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economica","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ecca.12576","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
The role of consumer sentiment in the transmission of monetary policy to consumer expenditure
This paper shows that changes in consumer sentiment play a quantitatively important role in the transmission of monetary policy on economic activity. Specifically, the paper's empirical estimates indicate that changes in short-term consumer sentiment may very well double the negative responses of consumer expenditure to contractionary monetary policy shocks. In contrast, long-term consumer sentiment plays only a minimal role in the propagation of monetary policy shocks into consumer expenditure.
期刊介绍:
Economica is an international journal devoted to research in all branches of economics. Theoretical and empirical articles are welcome from all parts of the international research community. Economica is a leading economics journal, appearing high in the published citation rankings. In addition to the main papers which make up each issue, there is an extensive review section, covering a wide range of recently published titles at all levels.