Erveton P. Pinto , Marcelo A. Pires , Rone N. da Silva , Sílvio M. Duarte Queirós
{"title":"二元复杂度-熵平面上的加密货币时间序列:复杂系统视角下的排序效率","authors":"Erveton P. Pinto , Marcelo A. Pires , Rone N. da Silva , Sílvio M. Duarte Queirós","doi":"10.1016/j.physa.2025.130699","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We report the first application of a tailored Complexity-Entropy Plane designed for binary sequences and structures. We do so by considering the daily up/down price fluctuations of the largest cryptocurrencies in terms of capitalization (stable-coins excluded) that are worth approximately <span><math><mrow><mn>90</mn><mtext>%</mtext></mrow></math></span> of the total crypto market capitalization. We focus on the basic elements of price motion, comparing them to the backbone features of a random walk associated with the mathematical underpinnings of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. From the location of each crypto on the Binary Complexity-Entropy Plane (BiCEP), we define an inefficiency score, <span><math><mi>I</mi></math></span>. The results based on the BiCEP analysis, which we substantiate with statistical testing, indicate that only Shiba Inu (SHIB) is significantly inefficient, whereas the majority of cryptocurrency trading operates in close-to-efficient conditions. Broadly, our <span><math><mi>I</mi></math></span>-based ranking hints that the design and consensus architecture of a crypto is at least as relevant to efficiency as the features that are usually taken into account in the appraisal of the efficiency of financial instruments, namely canonical fiat money. Lastly, this set of results supports the validity of the binary complexity analysis.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20152,"journal":{"name":"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications","volume":"674 ","pages":"Article 130699"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Cryptocurrency time series on the Binary Complexity-Entropy Plane: Ranking efficiency from the perspective of complex systems\",\"authors\":\"Erveton P. Pinto , Marcelo A. Pires , Rone N. da Silva , Sílvio M. Duarte Queirós\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.physa.2025.130699\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We report the first application of a tailored Complexity-Entropy Plane designed for binary sequences and structures. We do so by considering the daily up/down price fluctuations of the largest cryptocurrencies in terms of capitalization (stable-coins excluded) that are worth approximately <span><math><mrow><mn>90</mn><mtext>%</mtext></mrow></math></span> of the total crypto market capitalization. We focus on the basic elements of price motion, comparing them to the backbone features of a random walk associated with the mathematical underpinnings of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. From the location of each crypto on the Binary Complexity-Entropy Plane (BiCEP), we define an inefficiency score, <span><math><mi>I</mi></math></span>. The results based on the BiCEP analysis, which we substantiate with statistical testing, indicate that only Shiba Inu (SHIB) is significantly inefficient, whereas the majority of cryptocurrency trading operates in close-to-efficient conditions. Broadly, our <span><math><mi>I</mi></math></span>-based ranking hints that the design and consensus architecture of a crypto is at least as relevant to efficiency as the features that are usually taken into account in the appraisal of the efficiency of financial instruments, namely canonical fiat money. Lastly, this set of results supports the validity of the binary complexity analysis.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":20152,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications\",\"volume\":\"674 \",\"pages\":\"Article 130699\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"101\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437125003516\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"物理与天体物理\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications","FirstCategoryId":"101","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437125003516","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Cryptocurrency time series on the Binary Complexity-Entropy Plane: Ranking efficiency from the perspective of complex systems
We report the first application of a tailored Complexity-Entropy Plane designed for binary sequences and structures. We do so by considering the daily up/down price fluctuations of the largest cryptocurrencies in terms of capitalization (stable-coins excluded) that are worth approximately of the total crypto market capitalization. We focus on the basic elements of price motion, comparing them to the backbone features of a random walk associated with the mathematical underpinnings of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. From the location of each crypto on the Binary Complexity-Entropy Plane (BiCEP), we define an inefficiency score, . The results based on the BiCEP analysis, which we substantiate with statistical testing, indicate that only Shiba Inu (SHIB) is significantly inefficient, whereas the majority of cryptocurrency trading operates in close-to-efficient conditions. Broadly, our -based ranking hints that the design and consensus architecture of a crypto is at least as relevant to efficiency as the features that are usually taken into account in the appraisal of the efficiency of financial instruments, namely canonical fiat money. Lastly, this set of results supports the validity of the binary complexity analysis.
期刊介绍:
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Recognized by the European Physical Society
Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications.
Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents.
Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.