{"title":"在一个分段的、无弹性的股票市场中可预测的流动性特性","authors":"Haim Kedar-Levy , Joon-Seok Kim , Sean Sehyun Yoo","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2025.102181","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We explore the predictive capability of two investment strategies on idiosyncratic volatility, liquidity risk and liquidity commonality, by investor type. Investors are characterized as positive-feedback or contrarian once their trades are significantly associated with daily stock returns on a given month. We find that this classification has predictive power: positive-feedback traders (mainly foreign investors) tend to increase, while contrarian traders (mainly local individuals) tend to reduce, the following month’s volatility and liquidity. Different investor clienteles segment the market by stock characteristics, questioning linear cross-sectional pricing. Controlling for supply inelasticity we find that share issuance/buyback datapoints tilt some of the statistics and blur the findings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 102181"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Predictable liquidity properties in a Segmented, inelastic stock market\",\"authors\":\"Haim Kedar-Levy , Joon-Seok Kim , Sean Sehyun Yoo\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.intfin.2025.102181\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We explore the predictive capability of two investment strategies on idiosyncratic volatility, liquidity risk and liquidity commonality, by investor type. Investors are characterized as positive-feedback or contrarian once their trades are significantly associated with daily stock returns on a given month. We find that this classification has predictive power: positive-feedback traders (mainly foreign investors) tend to increase, while contrarian traders (mainly local individuals) tend to reduce, the following month’s volatility and liquidity. Different investor clienteles segment the market by stock characteristics, questioning linear cross-sectional pricing. Controlling for supply inelasticity we find that share issuance/buyback datapoints tilt some of the statistics and blur the findings.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48119,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money\",\"volume\":\"103 \",\"pages\":\"Article 102181\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S104244312500071X\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S104244312500071X","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Predictable liquidity properties in a Segmented, inelastic stock market
We explore the predictive capability of two investment strategies on idiosyncratic volatility, liquidity risk and liquidity commonality, by investor type. Investors are characterized as positive-feedback or contrarian once their trades are significantly associated with daily stock returns on a given month. We find that this classification has predictive power: positive-feedback traders (mainly foreign investors) tend to increase, while contrarian traders (mainly local individuals) tend to reduce, the following month’s volatility and liquidity. Different investor clienteles segment the market by stock characteristics, questioning linear cross-sectional pricing. Controlling for supply inelasticity we find that share issuance/buyback datapoints tilt some of the statistics and blur the findings.
期刊介绍:
International trade, financing and investments, and the related cash and credit transactions, have grown at an extremely rapid pace in recent years. The international monetary system has continued to evolve to accommodate the need for foreign-currency denominated transactions and in the process has provided opportunities for its ongoing observation and study. The purpose of the Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money is to publish rigorous, original articles dealing with the international aspects of financial markets, institutions and money. Theoretical/conceptual and empirical papers providing meaningful insights into the subject areas will be considered. The following topic areas, although not exhaustive, are representative of the coverage in this Journal. • International financial markets • International securities markets • Foreign exchange markets • Eurocurrency markets • International syndications • Term structures of Eurocurrency rates • Determination of exchange rates • Information, speculation and parity • Forward rates and swaps • International payment mechanisms • International commercial banking; • International investment banking • Central bank intervention • International monetary systems • Balance of payments.