{"title":"调查全球事件对加密货币性能的影响:大数据事件研究方法","authors":"Efstathios Polyzos , Layal Youssef","doi":"10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103375","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the impact of various crypto and global events from 2017 to 2023 on the performance of cryptocurrencies. We examine 47 significant events, analysing their effects on over 10,000 cryptocurrencies. Using an advanced event-study approach with big data, we analyse cumulative abnormal returns in data windows ranging from 3 to 150 days before and after these events and compute confidence intervals of the impact using the Welch <em>t</em>-test. We find a strong positive response of the crypto market to economic crises and negative response to political events, with the latter being driven primarily by older, established cryptocurrencies. We also find a smaller positive impact for environmental crises and a smaller negative impact for health and social crises. We compute beta coefficients for all cryptocurrencies in our sample and crypto market return indicators starting from 2013, which we provide as Supplementary data. Our work invites a reconsideration of the role of cryptocurrencies as safe havens during crisis events, demonstrating that these assets behave differently for different types of crises. Our comprehensive analysis fills a gap in the literature, offering fresh insights for investors aiming to use cryptocurrencies as hedging tools.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48331,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Money and Finance","volume":"157 ","pages":"Article 103375"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Investigating the impact of global events on cryptocurrency performance: a big data event study approach\",\"authors\":\"Efstathios Polyzos , Layal Youssef\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103375\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper investigates the impact of various crypto and global events from 2017 to 2023 on the performance of cryptocurrencies. We examine 47 significant events, analysing their effects on over 10,000 cryptocurrencies. Using an advanced event-study approach with big data, we analyse cumulative abnormal returns in data windows ranging from 3 to 150 days before and after these events and compute confidence intervals of the impact using the Welch <em>t</em>-test. We find a strong positive response of the crypto market to economic crises and negative response to political events, with the latter being driven primarily by older, established cryptocurrencies. We also find a smaller positive impact for environmental crises and a smaller negative impact for health and social crises. We compute beta coefficients for all cryptocurrencies in our sample and crypto market return indicators starting from 2013, which we provide as Supplementary data. Our work invites a reconsideration of the role of cryptocurrencies as safe havens during crisis events, demonstrating that these assets behave differently for different types of crises. Our comprehensive analysis fills a gap in the literature, offering fresh insights for investors aiming to use cryptocurrencies as hedging tools.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48331,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of International Money and Finance\",\"volume\":\"157 \",\"pages\":\"Article 103375\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of International Money and Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S026156062500110X\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of International Money and Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S026156062500110X","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Investigating the impact of global events on cryptocurrency performance: a big data event study approach
This paper investigates the impact of various crypto and global events from 2017 to 2023 on the performance of cryptocurrencies. We examine 47 significant events, analysing their effects on over 10,000 cryptocurrencies. Using an advanced event-study approach with big data, we analyse cumulative abnormal returns in data windows ranging from 3 to 150 days before and after these events and compute confidence intervals of the impact using the Welch t-test. We find a strong positive response of the crypto market to economic crises and negative response to political events, with the latter being driven primarily by older, established cryptocurrencies. We also find a smaller positive impact for environmental crises and a smaller negative impact for health and social crises. We compute beta coefficients for all cryptocurrencies in our sample and crypto market return indicators starting from 2013, which we provide as Supplementary data. Our work invites a reconsideration of the role of cryptocurrencies as safe havens during crisis events, demonstrating that these assets behave differently for different types of crises. Our comprehensive analysis fills a gap in the literature, offering fresh insights for investors aiming to use cryptocurrencies as hedging tools.
期刊介绍:
Since its launch in 1982, Journal of International Money and Finance has built up a solid reputation as a high quality scholarly journal devoted to theoretical and empirical research in the fields of international monetary economics, international finance, and the rapidly developing overlap area between the two. Researchers in these areas, and financial market professionals too, pay attention to the articles that the journal publishes. Authors published in the journal are in the forefront of scholarly research on exchange rate behaviour, foreign exchange options, international capital markets, international monetary and fiscal policy, international transmission and related questions.