调查全球事件对加密货币性能的影响:大数据事件研究方法

IF 3.3 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Efstathios Polyzos , Layal Youssef
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了2017年至2023年各种加密和全球事件对加密货币表现的影响。我们研究了47个重大事件,分析了它们对10,000多种加密货币的影响。使用先进的大数据事件研究方法,我们分析了这些事件前后3至150天的数据窗口内的累积异常收益,并使用韦尔奇t检验计算了影响的置信区间。我们发现加密市场对经济危机有强烈的积极反应,对政治事件有消极反应,后者主要是由老牌加密货币驱动的。我们还发现,对环境危机的正面影响较小,对健康和社会危机的负面影响较小。我们计算样本中所有加密货币的beta系数,并从2013年开始计算加密市场回报指标,我们将其作为补充数据提供。我们的工作要求重新考虑加密货币在危机事件中作为避风港的作用,证明这些资产在不同类型的危机中表现不同。我们的综合分析填补了文献中的空白,为旨在使用加密货币作为对冲工具的投资者提供了新的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating the impact of global events on cryptocurrency performance: a big data event study approach
This paper investigates the impact of various crypto and global events from 2017 to 2023 on the performance of cryptocurrencies. We examine 47 significant events, analysing their effects on over 10,000 cryptocurrencies. Using an advanced event-study approach with big data, we analyse cumulative abnormal returns in data windows ranging from 3 to 150 days before and after these events and compute confidence intervals of the impact using the Welch t-test. We find a strong positive response of the crypto market to economic crises and negative response to political events, with the latter being driven primarily by older, established cryptocurrencies. We also find a smaller positive impact for environmental crises and a smaller negative impact for health and social crises. We compute beta coefficients for all cryptocurrencies in our sample and crypto market return indicators starting from 2013, which we provide as Supplementary data. Our work invites a reconsideration of the role of cryptocurrencies as safe havens during crisis events, demonstrating that these assets behave differently for different types of crises. Our comprehensive analysis fills a gap in the literature, offering fresh insights for investors aiming to use cryptocurrencies as hedging tools.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
4.00%
发文量
141
期刊介绍: Since its launch in 1982, Journal of International Money and Finance has built up a solid reputation as a high quality scholarly journal devoted to theoretical and empirical research in the fields of international monetary economics, international finance, and the rapidly developing overlap area between the two. Researchers in these areas, and financial market professionals too, pay attention to the articles that the journal publishes. Authors published in the journal are in the forefront of scholarly research on exchange rate behaviour, foreign exchange options, international capital markets, international monetary and fiscal policy, international transmission and related questions.
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