Relationships between Heart Shape, Function and Disease in 38,858 UK Biobank Participants.

Background: Cardiac functional metrics such as ejection fraction, strain and valve excursion are important diagnostic and prognostic measures of cardiac disease. However, they ignore a large amount of systolic shape change information available from modern cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) examinations.

Objectives: We aimed to automatically quantify multidimensional shape and motion scores from CMR, investigate covariates, and test their discrimination of disease in the UK Biobank compared against standard functional metrics.

Methods: An automated analysis pipeline was used to obtain quality controlled 3D left and right ventricular shape models in 38,858 UK Biobank participants, 5,149 of whom had one or more diagnoses of cardiovascular or cardiometabolic disease. Principal component analysis was used to obtain a statistical shape atlas and quantify each participant's left and right ventricular shape at both end-diastole and end-systole simultaneously. Systolic strain was obtained from arc length changes computed from the shape model, and mitral/tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (MAPSE/TAPSE) was computed from the displacement of the valves. Discrimination for prevalent disease was quantified using linear discriminant analysis area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

Results: The first 25 principal component scores captured >90% of the total shape variance. Significantly stronger discrimination for atrial fibrillation, heart failure, diabetes, ischaemic disease, and conduction disorders (p<0.001 for each) was obtained using shape scores compared with volumes, ejection fractions, strains, MAPSE and TAPSE.

Conclusions: Automatically derived shape and motion z-scores capture more discriminative information on disease effects than standard metrics, including volumes, ejection fraction, strain and valve excursions.