炎症标志物和临床因素是虚弱的关键独立危险因素:一项回顾性研究。

IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY
Mengying Zeng, Yuanyuan Li, Yuchen Zhu, Ying Sun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景和目的:老年人的虚弱会导致跌倒、残疾、住院和死亡。识别体弱个体是延迟不良后果发生的关键手段。慢性炎症在虚弱的发生和发展中起着关键作用。我们的研究旨在探索炎症标志物与老年人虚弱之间的关系,从而有助于更准确地评估虚弱。方法:纳入2018年7月17日至2024年2月27日北京友谊医院老年科收治的4097例年龄≥60岁的患者,最终纳入800例。根据Fried脆弱表型将患者分为非虚弱组、虚弱前期组和虚弱组。使用“Python的统计模型库”进行逻辑回归分析,以确定风险因素。“Sklearn库”被用来评估这些因素的预测能力。结果:225人被鉴定为虚弱。衰弱的独立危险因素包括年龄、冠状动脉疾病(CAD)、老年性脑梗死(OCI)、中性粒细胞、中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比率(NLR)、高敏c反应蛋白(hs-CRP)、白蛋白、纤维蛋白原/白蛋白比(FAR)和红细胞沉降率(ESR)。年龄、CAD、OCI、中性粒细胞、NLR、hs-CRP、白蛋白、FAR和ESR的受试者工作特征曲线分析显示,logistic回归和随机森林模型的auc分别为0.851和0.841。结论:炎症标志物如NLR、hs-CRP、FAR和ESR,以及年龄、OCI和CAD是虚弱的关键独立危险因素。将这些因素纳入预测模型可以增强对脆弱性的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Inflammatory markers and clinical factors as key independent risk factors for frailty: a retrospective study.

Background and objective: Frailty in older adults leads to falls, disability, hospitalization, and death. Identifying frail individuals is a crucial means to delay the onset of adverse results. Chronic inflammation plays a key role in the onset and progression of frailty. Our study aims to explore the relationship between inflammatory markers and frailty in older adults, thereby contributing to more accurate assessments of frailty.

Methods: We included 4,097 cases aged ≥ 60 years admitted to the Geriatrics Department of Beijing Friendship Hospital between July 17, 2018 and February 27, 2024, 800 cases were ultimately included. Patients were divided into non-frail, pre-frail, and frail groups based on the Fried frailty phenotype. Logistic regression analyses were performed using "Python's statsmodels library" to identify risk factors. "The Sklearn library" was used to assess the predictive power of these factors.

Results: Two hundred five individuals were identified as frail. Independent risk factors for frailty included age, coronary artery disease (CAD), old cerebral infarction (OCI), neutrophil, neutrophil to lymphocyte rate (NLR), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), albumin, fibrinogen to albumin ratio (FAR) and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of age, CAD, OCI, neutrophils, NLR, hs-CRP, albumin, FAR, and ESR showed AUCs of 0.851 and 0.841 for logistic regression and random forest models.

Conclusion: Inflammatory markers such as NLR, hs-CRP, FAR, and ESR, along with age, OCI, and CAD, were key independent risk factors for frailty. Incorporating these factors into predictive models could enhance frailty prediction.

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来源期刊
BMC Geriatrics
BMC Geriatrics GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY-
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
7.30%
发文量
873
审稿时长
20 weeks
期刊介绍: BMC Geriatrics is an open access journal publishing original peer-reviewed research articles in all aspects of the health and healthcare of older people, including the effects of healthcare systems and policies. The journal also welcomes research focused on the aging process, including cellular, genetic, and physiological processes and cognitive modifications.
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