{"title":"酒店预订动态:确定酒店转换率的关键驱动因素","authors":"Piero Luchi , Cindy Yoonjoung Heo , Luís Nobre Pereira , Luciano Viverit , Daniele Contessi","doi":"10.1016/j.ijhm.2025.104313","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>All hotels receive numerous booking requests every day, either directly or through online travel agencies, but only a small percentage of these requests are converted into reservations. Low conversion rates generate an additional layer of uncertainty into the hotel demand function and pose a challenge for revenue maximization. Consequently, optimizing the conversion rate is a top priority for all hotel managers. Despite its importance, the factors influencing the conversion rate are not yet well understood. This longitudinal study aimed to identify the factors that explain seasonal variations in the conversion rate, providing insights to optimize it. By segmenting stay dates using machine learning algorithms and employing a logistic regression model to predict the probability of conversion per segment, this innovative research proposes a framework for conversion rate optimization. The research note contributes a new data mining methodology that can be implemented in machine learning algorithms to enhance conversion rates</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48444,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Hospitality Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104313"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Dynamics of hotel bookings: Identifying key drivers of hotel conversion rate\",\"authors\":\"Piero Luchi , Cindy Yoonjoung Heo , Luís Nobre Pereira , Luciano Viverit , Daniele Contessi\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijhm.2025.104313\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>All hotels receive numerous booking requests every day, either directly or through online travel agencies, but only a small percentage of these requests are converted into reservations. Low conversion rates generate an additional layer of uncertainty into the hotel demand function and pose a challenge for revenue maximization. Consequently, optimizing the conversion rate is a top priority for all hotel managers. Despite its importance, the factors influencing the conversion rate are not yet well understood. This longitudinal study aimed to identify the factors that explain seasonal variations in the conversion rate, providing insights to optimize it. By segmenting stay dates using machine learning algorithms and employing a logistic regression model to predict the probability of conversion per segment, this innovative research proposes a framework for conversion rate optimization. The research note contributes a new data mining methodology that can be implemented in machine learning algorithms to enhance conversion rates</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48444,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Hospitality Management\",\"volume\":\"131 \",\"pages\":\"Article 104313\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Hospitality Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0278431925002361\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Hospitality Management","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0278431925002361","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM","Score":null,"Total":0}
Dynamics of hotel bookings: Identifying key drivers of hotel conversion rate
All hotels receive numerous booking requests every day, either directly or through online travel agencies, but only a small percentage of these requests are converted into reservations. Low conversion rates generate an additional layer of uncertainty into the hotel demand function and pose a challenge for revenue maximization. Consequently, optimizing the conversion rate is a top priority for all hotel managers. Despite its importance, the factors influencing the conversion rate are not yet well understood. This longitudinal study aimed to identify the factors that explain seasonal variations in the conversion rate, providing insights to optimize it. By segmenting stay dates using machine learning algorithms and employing a logistic regression model to predict the probability of conversion per segment, this innovative research proposes a framework for conversion rate optimization. The research note contributes a new data mining methodology that can be implemented in machine learning algorithms to enhance conversion rates
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Hospitality Management serves as a platform for discussing significant trends and advancements in various disciplines related to the hospitality industry. The publication covers a wide range of topics, including human resources management, consumer behavior and marketing, business forecasting and applied economics, operational management, strategic management, financial management, planning and design, information technology and e-commerce, training and development, technological developments, and national and international legislation.
In addition to covering these topics, the journal features research papers, state-of-the-art reviews, and analyses of business practices within the hospitality industry. It aims to provide readers with valuable insights and knowledge in order to advance research and improve practices in the field.
The journal is also indexed and abstracted in various databases, including the Journal of Travel Research, PIRA, Academic Journal Guide, Documentation Touristique, Leisure, Recreation and Tourism Abstracts, Lodging and Restaurant Index, Scopus, CIRET, and the Social Sciences Citation Index. This ensures that the journal's content is widely accessible and discoverable by researchers and practitioners in the hospitality field.