{"title":"生长模型在大面积半干旱条件下布尔山羊和喀拉哈里山羊的应用。","authors":"Wesly Bvirwa, Soul Washaya","doi":"10.1007/s11250-025-04489-2","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The study aimed to estimate parameters from four different nonlinear growth models (Brady, Gompertz, Logistic, von Bertalanffy) and assess how growth differs by sex. A total of 40 goats (20 males and 20 females) for each cross; Boer x Mashona (BM) and Kalahari x Mashona (KM) were monitored from birth to one year of age. The goats were managed under extensive production with little or no supplements; singleton goat kids were used in this study. The model parameters of each growth model were compared for differences between the two sexes. The statistical effectiveness of fit was determined for each model using AIC, AICC, BIC, RMSE, and R<sup>2</sup> at the same time, the inflection weight (IW) and inflection age (IA) were determined. The main effect of sex was significant (P< 0.05) for all the parameters in all the models except parameter (k) in von Bertalanffy function in BM and KM goats. The asymptotic mature weight (A) predicted by the models ranged from 24.8 to 38.8 kg and 38.2 to 40.6 in BM, while it ranged from 24.8 to 38.3 and 35.1 to 37.3 in KM for female and male goats, respectively. The Gompertz model predicted that males and females are more or less similar in mature weight, with variation ranging between 0.03kg and 1kg for BM and KM, respectively. The IW ranged between 9.1 to 19.7 and 9.1 to14.1 kg, while the IA ranged from 4.9 to 57.5 and 12.2 to 51.5 days in BM and KM goats, respectively. The Brody and Logistic, and the Brody and Gompertz models were superior in modeling growth for BM and KM goats, respectively.</p>","PeriodicalId":23329,"journal":{"name":"Tropical animal health and production","volume":"57 5","pages":"244"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Application of growth models to Boer x Mashona and Kalahari x Mashona goats under extensive semi-arid conditions.\",\"authors\":\"Wesly Bvirwa, Soul Washaya\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s11250-025-04489-2\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>The study aimed to estimate parameters from four different nonlinear growth models (Brady, Gompertz, Logistic, von Bertalanffy) and assess how growth differs by sex. A total of 40 goats (20 males and 20 females) for each cross; Boer x Mashona (BM) and Kalahari x Mashona (KM) were monitored from birth to one year of age. The goats were managed under extensive production with little or no supplements; singleton goat kids were used in this study. The model parameters of each growth model were compared for differences between the two sexes. The statistical effectiveness of fit was determined for each model using AIC, AICC, BIC, RMSE, and R<sup>2</sup> at the same time, the inflection weight (IW) and inflection age (IA) were determined. The main effect of sex was significant (P< 0.05) for all the parameters in all the models except parameter (k) in von Bertalanffy function in BM and KM goats. The asymptotic mature weight (A) predicted by the models ranged from 24.8 to 38.8 kg and 38.2 to 40.6 in BM, while it ranged from 24.8 to 38.3 and 35.1 to 37.3 in KM for female and male goats, respectively. The Gompertz model predicted that males and females are more or less similar in mature weight, with variation ranging between 0.03kg and 1kg for BM and KM, respectively. The IW ranged between 9.1 to 19.7 and 9.1 to14.1 kg, while the IA ranged from 4.9 to 57.5 and 12.2 to 51.5 days in BM and KM goats, respectively. The Brody and Logistic, and the Brody and Gompertz models were superior in modeling growth for BM and KM goats, respectively.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":23329,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Tropical animal health and production\",\"volume\":\"57 5\",\"pages\":\"244\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Tropical animal health and production\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"97\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11250-025-04489-2\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"农林科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"AGRICULTURE, DAIRY & ANIMAL SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tropical animal health and production","FirstCategoryId":"97","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11250-025-04489-2","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"AGRICULTURE, DAIRY & ANIMAL SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Application of growth models to Boer x Mashona and Kalahari x Mashona goats under extensive semi-arid conditions.
The study aimed to estimate parameters from four different nonlinear growth models (Brady, Gompertz, Logistic, von Bertalanffy) and assess how growth differs by sex. A total of 40 goats (20 males and 20 females) for each cross; Boer x Mashona (BM) and Kalahari x Mashona (KM) were monitored from birth to one year of age. The goats were managed under extensive production with little or no supplements; singleton goat kids were used in this study. The model parameters of each growth model were compared for differences between the two sexes. The statistical effectiveness of fit was determined for each model using AIC, AICC, BIC, RMSE, and R2 at the same time, the inflection weight (IW) and inflection age (IA) were determined. The main effect of sex was significant (P< 0.05) for all the parameters in all the models except parameter (k) in von Bertalanffy function in BM and KM goats. The asymptotic mature weight (A) predicted by the models ranged from 24.8 to 38.8 kg and 38.2 to 40.6 in BM, while it ranged from 24.8 to 38.3 and 35.1 to 37.3 in KM for female and male goats, respectively. The Gompertz model predicted that males and females are more or less similar in mature weight, with variation ranging between 0.03kg and 1kg for BM and KM, respectively. The IW ranged between 9.1 to 19.7 and 9.1 to14.1 kg, while the IA ranged from 4.9 to 57.5 and 12.2 to 51.5 days in BM and KM goats, respectively. The Brody and Logistic, and the Brody and Gompertz models were superior in modeling growth for BM and KM goats, respectively.
期刊介绍:
Tropical Animal Health and Production is an international journal publishing the results of original research in any field of animal health, welfare, and production with the aim of improving health and productivity of livestock, and better utilisation of animal resources, including wildlife in tropical, subtropical and similar agro-ecological environments.