{"title":"中国COPD患者的全因死亡率和病因特异性死亡率:一项16年随访队列研究","authors":"Yalei Ke, Yuxuan Zhao, Dianjianyi Sun, Pei Pei, Huaidong Du, Yiping Chen, Ling Yang, Xiaoming Yang, Yalin Chen, Junshi Chen, Zhengming Chen, Jun Lv, Liming Li, Canqing Yu","doi":"10.1007/s10654-025-01252-7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is rising in China, yet population-based evidence on COPD-related mortality risk remains limited. This study examined the association between prevalent COPD and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large Chinese cohort. 484,301 adults aged 30 to 79 years who received spirometry at the baseline of the China Kadoorie Biobank Study (2004-2008) were included. COPD was defined as FEV<sub>1</sub>/ FVC < 0.7. Mortality data were tracked via local death registries and national health insurance systems over a median follow-up period of 16.0 years. Cox proportional hazard models and competing risk regression were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and subdistribution HRs (SHRs), respectively. The COPD group had higher all-cause and cause-specific mortality, with adjusted HR (95%CI) for all-cause mortality of 1.44 (1.41-1.47), and adjusted SHR (95%CI) of 1.09 (1.05-1.13), 1.06 (1.01-1.11), 3.30 (3.12-3.49), 1.45 (1.16-1.81), for circulatory disease, neoplasms, respiratory disease, and infectious disease mortality, respectively. Specifically, young COPD (aged < 50 years) showed a stronger mortality association than those aged ≥ 50 years. Moreover, individuals with preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) had a 1.4-fold higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with non-COPD participants. COPD is associated with a significantly elevated risk of mortality from all causes, circulatory disease, neoplasms, respiratory disease, and infectious disease in the Chinese population. Additionally, young COPD and those with PRISm faced significant mortality burdens.</p>","PeriodicalId":11907,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"681-691"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"All-cause and cause-specific mortality in individuals with COPD in China: a 16-year follow-up cohort study.\",\"authors\":\"Yalei Ke, Yuxuan Zhao, Dianjianyi Sun, Pei Pei, Huaidong Du, Yiping Chen, Ling Yang, Xiaoming Yang, Yalin Chen, Junshi Chen, Zhengming Chen, Jun Lv, Liming Li, Canqing Yu\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s10654-025-01252-7\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>The prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is rising in China, yet population-based evidence on COPD-related mortality risk remains limited. This study examined the association between prevalent COPD and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large Chinese cohort. 484,301 adults aged 30 to 79 years who received spirometry at the baseline of the China Kadoorie Biobank Study (2004-2008) were included. COPD was defined as FEV<sub>1</sub>/ FVC < 0.7. Mortality data were tracked via local death registries and national health insurance systems over a median follow-up period of 16.0 years. Cox proportional hazard models and competing risk regression were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and subdistribution HRs (SHRs), respectively. The COPD group had higher all-cause and cause-specific mortality, with adjusted HR (95%CI) for all-cause mortality of 1.44 (1.41-1.47), and adjusted SHR (95%CI) of 1.09 (1.05-1.13), 1.06 (1.01-1.11), 3.30 (3.12-3.49), 1.45 (1.16-1.81), for circulatory disease, neoplasms, respiratory disease, and infectious disease mortality, respectively. Specifically, young COPD (aged < 50 years) showed a stronger mortality association than those aged ≥ 50 years. Moreover, individuals with preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) had a 1.4-fold higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with non-COPD participants. COPD is associated with a significantly elevated risk of mortality from all causes, circulatory disease, neoplasms, respiratory disease, and infectious disease in the Chinese population. Additionally, young COPD and those with PRISm faced significant mortality burdens.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":11907,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"European Journal of Epidemiology\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"681-691\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"European Journal of Epidemiology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-025-01252-7\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2025/6/4 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"European Journal of Epidemiology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-025-01252-7","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/6/4 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
All-cause and cause-specific mortality in individuals with COPD in China: a 16-year follow-up cohort study.
The prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is rising in China, yet population-based evidence on COPD-related mortality risk remains limited. This study examined the association between prevalent COPD and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large Chinese cohort. 484,301 adults aged 30 to 79 years who received spirometry at the baseline of the China Kadoorie Biobank Study (2004-2008) were included. COPD was defined as FEV1/ FVC < 0.7. Mortality data were tracked via local death registries and national health insurance systems over a median follow-up period of 16.0 years. Cox proportional hazard models and competing risk regression were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and subdistribution HRs (SHRs), respectively. The COPD group had higher all-cause and cause-specific mortality, with adjusted HR (95%CI) for all-cause mortality of 1.44 (1.41-1.47), and adjusted SHR (95%CI) of 1.09 (1.05-1.13), 1.06 (1.01-1.11), 3.30 (3.12-3.49), 1.45 (1.16-1.81), for circulatory disease, neoplasms, respiratory disease, and infectious disease mortality, respectively. Specifically, young COPD (aged < 50 years) showed a stronger mortality association than those aged ≥ 50 years. Moreover, individuals with preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) had a 1.4-fold higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with non-COPD participants. COPD is associated with a significantly elevated risk of mortality from all causes, circulatory disease, neoplasms, respiratory disease, and infectious disease in the Chinese population. Additionally, young COPD and those with PRISm faced significant mortality burdens.
期刊介绍:
The European Journal of Epidemiology, established in 1985, is a peer-reviewed publication that provides a platform for discussions on epidemiology in its broadest sense. It covers various aspects of epidemiologic research and statistical methods. The journal facilitates communication between researchers, educators, and practitioners in epidemiology, including those in clinical and community medicine. Contributions from diverse fields such as public health, preventive medicine, clinical medicine, health economics, and computational biology and data science, in relation to health and disease, are encouraged. While accepting submissions from all over the world, the journal particularly emphasizes European topics relevant to epidemiology. The published articles consist of empirical research findings, developments in methodology, and opinion pieces.