Liao Chen , Ning Jia , Zhixian Jiao , Hongke Zhao , Runbang Cui , Huimin Wang
{"title":"基于层次异构网络的半监督拒绝推理框架","authors":"Liao Chen , Ning Jia , Zhixian Jiao , Hongke Zhao , Runbang Cui , Huimin Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.07.011","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Credit scoring is a popular tool for loan assessment, i.e., deciding whether to accept or reject a loan application. Traditional research into learning for credit scoring has only applied historically accepted samples without rejected applicants whose true repayment performance is absent, thereby causing both sample selection bias and wasting data. Some methods have been proposed for inferring rejected samples but they are still affected by several open problems, especially for medium- and long-term loan applications with a higher rejection rate. In particular, the heterogeneous relationships between accepted and rejected applications have not been well studied. Moreover, the complex repayment behaviors resulting from long repayment terms may lead to poor learning performance. Thus, we propose a reject inference framework with <strong>S</strong>emi-supervised <strong>H</strong>ierarchical <strong>H</strong>eterogeneous <strong>N</strong>etwork (S2HN) for credit scoring. We introduce a hierarchical heterogeneous network for revealing the complex connections between accepted and rejected applications, and use prospective heterogeneous repayment patterns as auxiliary information through clustering and a two-layer prediction architecture. Extensive experiments conducted based on real-world data sets demonstrated the effectiveness of our proposed method.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14061,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Forecasting","volume":"41 3","pages":"Pages 920-939"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A semi-supervised reject inference framework with hierarchical heterogeneous networks for credit scoring\",\"authors\":\"Liao Chen , Ning Jia , Zhixian Jiao , Hongke Zhao , Runbang Cui , Huimin Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.07.011\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Credit scoring is a popular tool for loan assessment, i.e., deciding whether to accept or reject a loan application. Traditional research into learning for credit scoring has only applied historically accepted samples without rejected applicants whose true repayment performance is absent, thereby causing both sample selection bias and wasting data. Some methods have been proposed for inferring rejected samples but they are still affected by several open problems, especially for medium- and long-term loan applications with a higher rejection rate. In particular, the heterogeneous relationships between accepted and rejected applications have not been well studied. Moreover, the complex repayment behaviors resulting from long repayment terms may lead to poor learning performance. Thus, we propose a reject inference framework with <strong>S</strong>emi-supervised <strong>H</strong>ierarchical <strong>H</strong>eterogeneous <strong>N</strong>etwork (S2HN) for credit scoring. We introduce a hierarchical heterogeneous network for revealing the complex connections between accepted and rejected applications, and use prospective heterogeneous repayment patterns as auxiliary information through clustering and a two-layer prediction architecture. Extensive experiments conducted based on real-world data sets demonstrated the effectiveness of our proposed method.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":14061,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Forecasting\",\"volume\":\"41 3\",\"pages\":\"Pages 920-939\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Forecasting\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207024000785\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Forecasting","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207024000785","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A semi-supervised reject inference framework with hierarchical heterogeneous networks for credit scoring
Credit scoring is a popular tool for loan assessment, i.e., deciding whether to accept or reject a loan application. Traditional research into learning for credit scoring has only applied historically accepted samples without rejected applicants whose true repayment performance is absent, thereby causing both sample selection bias and wasting data. Some methods have been proposed for inferring rejected samples but they are still affected by several open problems, especially for medium- and long-term loan applications with a higher rejection rate. In particular, the heterogeneous relationships between accepted and rejected applications have not been well studied. Moreover, the complex repayment behaviors resulting from long repayment terms may lead to poor learning performance. Thus, we propose a reject inference framework with Semi-supervised Hierarchical Heterogeneous Network (S2HN) for credit scoring. We introduce a hierarchical heterogeneous network for revealing the complex connections between accepted and rejected applications, and use prospective heterogeneous repayment patterns as auxiliary information through clustering and a two-layer prediction architecture. Extensive experiments conducted based on real-world data sets demonstrated the effectiveness of our proposed method.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Forecasting is a leading journal in its field that publishes high quality refereed papers. It aims to bridge the gap between theory and practice, making forecasting useful and relevant for decision and policy makers. The journal places strong emphasis on empirical studies, evaluation activities, implementation research, and improving the practice of forecasting. It welcomes various points of view and encourages debate to find solutions to field-related problems. The journal is the official publication of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) and is indexed in Sociological Abstracts, Journal of Economic Literature, Statistical Theory and Method Abstracts, INSPEC, Current Contents, UMI Data Courier, RePEc, Academic Journal Guide, CIS, IAOR, and Social Sciences Citation Index.