Silvia Patricia Zuniga Veliz , Leticia del Carmen Castillo Signor , Nancy Gonzalez , Joxua Araque , Francisco Hernández , Jorge Ramos , Nevis Nuñez , Francisca Vasquez , Alejandra Barrientos , Edson Jose Adrian Bolanos Lima , Edgar Santos Tejeda , Mayra Lissette Motta Padilla , Anoop Ambikan , Ujjwal Neogi
{"title":"危地马拉登革热的时间趋势和公共卫生影响：十年的挑战和新出现的威胁（2013-2024年）","authors":"Silvia Patricia Zuniga Veliz , Leticia del Carmen Castillo Signor , Nancy Gonzalez , Joxua Araque , Francisco Hernández , Jorge Ramos , Nevis Nuñez , Francisca Vasquez , Alejandra Barrientos , Edson Jose Adrian Bolanos Lima , Edgar Santos Tejeda , Mayra Lissette Motta Padilla , Anoop Ambikan , Ujjwal Neogi","doi":"10.1016/j.ijregi.2025.100667","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Dengue, a rapidly spreading arboviral disease transmitted by <em>Aedes</em> mosquitoes, poses a persistent public health challenge in Guatemala. Rising temperatures increased economic activity, and low population density contribute to the country’s dengue burden, with outbreaks peaking during the rainy season.</div></div><div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>This study aimed to identify a temporal trend of the dengue epidemic in Guatemala over a decade (2013–2024).</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We collected month- and year-wise dengue case data from 29 provinces between 2013 and October 15, 2024 from the Guatemala’s Ministry of Public Health and Social Assistance database. Additional age-stratified data for individuals under 18 years of age were extracted from the national dengue surveillance databases maintained by the Ministry of Public Health of Guatemala for 2019, 2023 and 2024.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The dengue cases increased significantly from 9357 in 2013 to 117,942 by October 15, 2024, with a notable rise in severe cases and associated mortality. Spatial dynamics also shifted, with the epicenter moving from Huehuetenango in 2019 to central Guatemala in 2024. Children aged 5–9 years were disproportionately affected, with hospitalization rates and case fatalities increasing significantly.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>These findings underscore a critical public health crisis, necessitating enhanced surveillance and year-round vector control to mitigate the growing dengue threat in Guatemala.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":73335,"journal":{"name":"IJID regions","volume":"15 ","pages":"Article 100667"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Temporal trends and public health implications of dengue in Guatemala: A decade of challenges and emerging threats (2013–2024)\",\"authors\":\"Silvia Patricia Zuniga Veliz , Leticia del Carmen Castillo Signor , Nancy Gonzalez , Joxua Araque , Francisco Hernández , Jorge Ramos , Nevis Nuñez , Francisca Vasquez , Alejandra Barrientos , Edson Jose Adrian Bolanos Lima , Edgar Santos Tejeda , Mayra Lissette Motta Padilla , Anoop Ambikan , Ujjwal Neogi\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijregi.2025.100667\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Dengue, a rapidly spreading arboviral disease transmitted by <em>Aedes</em> mosquitoes, poses a persistent public health challenge in Guatemala. Rising temperatures increased economic activity, and low population density contribute to the country’s dengue burden, with outbreaks peaking during the rainy season.</div></div><div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>This study aimed to identify a temporal trend of the dengue epidemic in Guatemala over a decade (2013–2024).</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We collected month- and year-wise dengue case data from 29 provinces between 2013 and October 15, 2024 from the Guatemala’s Ministry of Public Health and Social Assistance database. Additional age-stratified data for individuals under 18 years of age were extracted from the national dengue surveillance databases maintained by the Ministry of Public Health of Guatemala for 2019, 2023 and 2024.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The dengue cases increased significantly from 9357 in 2013 to 117,942 by October 15, 2024, with a notable rise in severe cases and associated mortality. Spatial dynamics also shifted, with the epicenter moving from Huehuetenango in 2019 to central Guatemala in 2024. Children aged 5–9 years were disproportionately affected, with hospitalization rates and case fatalities increasing significantly.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>These findings underscore a critical public health crisis, necessitating enhanced surveillance and year-round vector control to mitigate the growing dengue threat in Guatemala.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":73335,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"IJID regions\",\"volume\":\"15 \",\"pages\":\"Article 100667\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"IJID regions\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S277270762500102X\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"INFECTIOUS DISEASES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IJID regions","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S277270762500102X","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"INFECTIOUS DISEASES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Temporal trends and public health implications of dengue in Guatemala: A decade of challenges and emerging threats (2013–2024)
Background
Dengue, a rapidly spreading arboviral disease transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, poses a persistent public health challenge in Guatemala. Rising temperatures increased economic activity, and low population density contribute to the country’s dengue burden, with outbreaks peaking during the rainy season.
Objectives
This study aimed to identify a temporal trend of the dengue epidemic in Guatemala over a decade (2013–2024).
Methods
We collected month- and year-wise dengue case data from 29 provinces between 2013 and October 15, 2024 from the Guatemala’s Ministry of Public Health and Social Assistance database. Additional age-stratified data for individuals under 18 years of age were extracted from the national dengue surveillance databases maintained by the Ministry of Public Health of Guatemala for 2019, 2023 and 2024.
Results
The dengue cases increased significantly from 9357 in 2013 to 117,942 by October 15, 2024, with a notable rise in severe cases and associated mortality. Spatial dynamics also shifted, with the epicenter moving from Huehuetenango in 2019 to central Guatemala in 2024. Children aged 5–9 years were disproportionately affected, with hospitalization rates and case fatalities increasing significantly.
Conclusions
These findings underscore a critical public health crisis, necessitating enhanced surveillance and year-round vector control to mitigate the growing dengue threat in Guatemala.
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