城乡人口暴露于复合干旱和热浪事件的全球差异

IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Tao Li, Fengjiao Song, Andrée De Cock, Philippe De Maeyer, Jiayu Bao, Ye Yuan, Sulei Naibi, Anming Bao, Long Tuan Ho, Peter Goethals
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在全球气候变化的驱动下,复合干旱和热浪事件(CDHWs)频发,对人类构成严重威胁。然而,它们对农村和城市人口的影响仍不清楚。本研究分析了农村和城市人群的cdhw暴露情况,发现慢性暴露于cdhw的人数随着时间的推移呈现明显的上升趋势。从1901年到2021年,农村人口对cdhw的总暴露量是城市人口的2.5倍。然而,在过去的三十年中,城市人口比农村人口暴露的程度高得多,增加的速度也快得多。从区域来看,亚洲、北美和非洲的农村人口分别占全球农村人口暴露总量的41.06、16.51和13.69%,而亚洲、北美和欧洲的城市人口分别占全球城市暴露总量的32.31、18.70和16.85%。气候-人口交互效应是近年来人口暴露变化的主导因素。我们的研究结果有助于在全球和区域两级对cdhw进行风险评估,并为防灾和减灾战略提供可靠的信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Global disparities in rural and urban population exposure to compound drought and heatwave events

Global disparities in rural and urban population exposure to compound drought and heatwave events

The high occurrence of compound drought and heatwave events (CDHWs), driven by global climate change, poses a serious threat to humanity. However, their impacts on rural and urban populations remain unclear. This study analyzed CDHWs exposure in both rural and urban populations and found that the number of people chronically exposed to CDHWs has shown a clear upward trend over time. From 1901 to 2021, rural populations experienced 2.5 times the total exposure to CDHWs compared to urban populations. Over the past three decades, however, urban populations have experienced significantly higher exposure and a faster rate of increase than rural populations. Regionally, rural populations in Asia, North America, and Africa accounted for 41.06, 16.51, and 13.69% of the total global rural population exposure, respectively, while urban populations in Asia, North America, and Europe accounted for 32.31, 18.70, and 16.85% of global urban exposure, respectively. The climate-population interactive effects have been the dominant factors driving recent changes in population exposure. Our findings contribute to the risk assessment of CDHWs at both global and regional levels and provide reliable information for disaster prevention and mitigation strategies.

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来源期刊
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
3.30%
发文量
87
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science is an open-access journal encompassing the relevant physical, chemical, and biological aspects of atmospheric and climate science. The journal places particular emphasis on regional studies that unveil new insights into specific localities, including examinations of local atmospheric composition, such as aerosols. The range of topics covered by the journal includes climate dynamics, climate variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, ocean dynamics, weather extremes, air pollution, atmospheric chemistry (including aerosols), the hydrological cycle, and atmosphere–ocean and atmosphere–land interactions. The journal welcomes studies employing a diverse array of methods, including numerical and statistical modeling, the development and application of in situ observational techniques, remote sensing, and the development or evaluation of new reanalyses.
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