Ohud A Alqasem, Ali T Hammad, M M Abd El-Raouf, Abdirashid M Yousuf, Ahmed M Gemeay
{"title":"混合泊松回归模型中一种新的刘氏估计量。","authors":"Ohud A Alqasem, Ali T Hammad, M M Abd El-Raouf, Abdirashid M Yousuf, Ahmed M Gemeay","doi":"10.1038/s41598-025-00948-w","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Mixed Poisson regression models (MPRMs) are widely used for analyzing overdispersed count data. However, the presence of multicollinearity among explanatory variables poses challenges when estimating regression coefficients using the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), leading to inflated variances. The Poisson Modification of the Quasi-Lindley regression model (PMQLRM), a recently introduced alternative within MPRMs, faces similar issues. To address this, we propose a Liu-type estimator for the PMQLRM as an effective remedy for multicollinearity. Several existing methods are utilized to estimate the Liu-type parameter, and the theoretical superiority conditions of the proposed estimator over the MLE, ridge regression estimator, and Liu estimator are established using the scalar mean squared error (MSE) criterion. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to compare the performance of different estimators based on the MSE. Additionally, a real-world dataset is analyzed to demonstrate the practical advantages of the proposed method. The findings indicate that the Poisson-modification of the Quasi-Lindley Liu-type estimator outperforms the MLE and other biased estimators when multicollinearity is present, offering a more stable and reliable alternative for parameter estimation in mixed Poisson regression models.</p>","PeriodicalId":21811,"journal":{"name":"Scientific Reports","volume":"15 1","pages":"19042"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12125248/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A new Liu-type estimator in a mixed Poisson regression model.\",\"authors\":\"Ohud A Alqasem, Ali T Hammad, M M Abd El-Raouf, Abdirashid M Yousuf, Ahmed M Gemeay\",\"doi\":\"10.1038/s41598-025-00948-w\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Mixed Poisson regression models (MPRMs) are widely used for analyzing overdispersed count data. However, the presence of multicollinearity among explanatory variables poses challenges when estimating regression coefficients using the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), leading to inflated variances. The Poisson Modification of the Quasi-Lindley regression model (PMQLRM), a recently introduced alternative within MPRMs, faces similar issues. To address this, we propose a Liu-type estimator for the PMQLRM as an effective remedy for multicollinearity. Several existing methods are utilized to estimate the Liu-type parameter, and the theoretical superiority conditions of the proposed estimator over the MLE, ridge regression estimator, and Liu estimator are established using the scalar mean squared error (MSE) criterion. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to compare the performance of different estimators based on the MSE. Additionally, a real-world dataset is analyzed to demonstrate the practical advantages of the proposed method. The findings indicate that the Poisson-modification of the Quasi-Lindley Liu-type estimator outperforms the MLE and other biased estimators when multicollinearity is present, offering a more stable and reliable alternative for parameter estimation in mixed Poisson regression models.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":21811,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Scientific Reports\",\"volume\":\"15 1\",\"pages\":\"19042\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12125248/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Scientific Reports\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"103\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-00948-w\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"综合性期刊\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Scientific Reports","FirstCategoryId":"103","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-00948-w","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
混合泊松回归模型(MPRMs)被广泛用于分析过分散的计数数据。然而,解释变量之间多重共线性的存在给使用最大似然估计器(MLE)估计回归系数带来了挑战,导致方差膨胀。准林德利回归模型的泊松修正(Poisson Modification of Quasi-Lindley regression model, PMQLRM)是最近在MPRMs中引入的一种替代方法,也面临着类似的问题。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了PMQLRM的liu型估计量作为多重共线性的有效补救措施。利用现有的几种方法对Liu型参数进行估计,并利用标量均方误差(MSE)准则建立了该估计量相对于MLE估计量、岭回归估计量和Liu估计量的理论优势条件。通过蒙特卡罗仿真研究,比较了基于MSE的不同估计器的性能。此外,对一个真实数据集进行了分析,以证明所提出方法的实用优势。研究结果表明,当存在多重共线性时,准lindley liu型估计量的泊松修正优于MLE和其他有偏估计量,为混合泊松回归模型的参数估计提供了更稳定和可靠的选择。
A new Liu-type estimator in a mixed Poisson regression model.
Mixed Poisson regression models (MPRMs) are widely used for analyzing overdispersed count data. However, the presence of multicollinearity among explanatory variables poses challenges when estimating regression coefficients using the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), leading to inflated variances. The Poisson Modification of the Quasi-Lindley regression model (PMQLRM), a recently introduced alternative within MPRMs, faces similar issues. To address this, we propose a Liu-type estimator for the PMQLRM as an effective remedy for multicollinearity. Several existing methods are utilized to estimate the Liu-type parameter, and the theoretical superiority conditions of the proposed estimator over the MLE, ridge regression estimator, and Liu estimator are established using the scalar mean squared error (MSE) criterion. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to compare the performance of different estimators based on the MSE. Additionally, a real-world dataset is analyzed to demonstrate the practical advantages of the proposed method. The findings indicate that the Poisson-modification of the Quasi-Lindley Liu-type estimator outperforms the MLE and other biased estimators when multicollinearity is present, offering a more stable and reliable alternative for parameter estimation in mixed Poisson regression models.
期刊介绍:
We publish original research from all areas of the natural sciences, psychology, medicine and engineering. You can learn more about what we publish by browsing our specific scientific subject areas below or explore Scientific Reports by browsing all articles and collections.
Scientific Reports has a 2-year impact factor: 4.380 (2021), and is the 6th most-cited journal in the world, with more than 540,000 citations in 2020 (Clarivate Analytics, 2021).
•Engineering
Engineering covers all aspects of engineering, technology, and applied science. It plays a crucial role in the development of technologies to address some of the world''s biggest challenges, helping to save lives and improve the way we live.
•Physical sciences
Physical sciences are those academic disciplines that aim to uncover the underlying laws of nature — often written in the language of mathematics. It is a collective term for areas of study including astronomy, chemistry, materials science and physics.
•Earth and environmental sciences
Earth and environmental sciences cover all aspects of Earth and planetary science and broadly encompass solid Earth processes, surface and atmospheric dynamics, Earth system history, climate and climate change, marine and freshwater systems, and ecology. It also considers the interactions between humans and these systems.
•Biological sciences
Biological sciences encompass all the divisions of natural sciences examining various aspects of vital processes. The concept includes anatomy, physiology, cell biology, biochemistry and biophysics, and covers all organisms from microorganisms, animals to plants.
•Health sciences
The health sciences study health, disease and healthcare. This field of study aims to develop knowledge, interventions and technology for use in healthcare to improve the treatment of patients.